Dorados vs Soles Prediction & Odds

LNBP Saturday, September 26, 2026Sat, Sep 26 Start20:00ET Round 22

DoradosHome · 17-11 · 6th · 2.65

642113822

SolesAway · 21-7 · 1st · 1.40

9719292425

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Dorados 21 13 8 22

Soles 19 29 24 25

FT Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · MexicoGimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · Round 22

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.36 56%

Soles to win edge −11.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.36 Soles to win Confidence56% model 53.1% · market 64.4% edge −11.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.36 53.1% 64.4% −11.3% 56% Won

Total points U162.5 1.84 54.4% 50.0% +4.4% 54% Won

Point spread DOR +4.5 1.91 58.7% 50.0% +8.7% 66% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados6480

Soles9780

Total 160 actual 161

Winning margin — actual SOL by 33

Chance to win SOL 52% SOL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados6480

Soles9780

Total 160 Win SOL 52% Actual 161 · SOL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Dorados large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Soles

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Dorados vs Soles

Dorados Soles

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Dorados 3-2

Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
Sep 20: Astros 77, Dorados 79. Won. Odds: Astros 1.15, Dorados 4.75.
Sep 19: Astros 87, Dorados 80. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.28, Dorados 3.30.
Sep 16: Dorados 97, El Calor de Cancun 86. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.65.
Sep 15: Dorados 91, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.67.

Soles 4-1

Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
Sep 21: Soles 76, Panteras 77. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.45, Panteras 2.50.
Sep 20: Soles 77, Panteras 67. Won. Odds: Soles 1.35, Panteras 2.95.
Sep 15: Freseros 63, Soles 92. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.22, Soles 1.60.
Sep 14: Freseros 73, Soles 85. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.02, Soles 1.70.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DOR moneyline	2.55	moved up 2.65
SOL moneyline	1.45	moved down 1.40
Total points	162.5	162.5
DOR spread · regulation	+4.5	moved up +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Dorados host Soles in the LNBP on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.