Dorados vs Gambusinos prediction
Dorados
22
24
18
24
Gambusinos
26
20
17
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Dorados8885Gambusinos8780Dorados8885Gambusinos8780Total 165 Margin DOR by 5 Win DOR 65% Actual 175 · DOR won
Dorados
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Gambusinos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Dorados vs Gambusinos
Dorados
Gambusinos
Last 30 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Dorados at home, last 14 games · Gambusinos away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dorados 5, Gambusinos 0.
- Average total 182.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DOR by 15 Oct 11, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 11, 2026 LNBP Dorados 98–83 Gambusinos 181 pts
- Aug 11, 2026 LNBP Dorados 91–77 Gambusinos 168 pts
- Aug 10, 2026 LNBP Dorados 89–81 Gambusinos 170 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 LNBP Dorados 94–91 Gambusinos 185 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 LNBP Dorados 131–75 Gambusinos 206 pts
Last five games
Dorados
4-1 - Oct 11: Dorados 98, Gambusinos 83. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.40, Gambusinos 2.72.
- Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
- Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
- Oct 2: Panteras 81, Dorados 83. Won. Odds: Panteras 1.39, Dorados 2.75.
- Oct 1: Panteras 91, Dorados 85. Lost. Odds: Panteras 1.72, Dorados 2.00.
Gambusinos
0-5 - Oct 11: Dorados 98, Gambusinos 83. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.40, Gambusinos 2.72.
- Oct 7: Astros 86, Gambusinos 71. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.19, Gambusinos 4.15.
- Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
- Oct 2: El Calor de Cancun 74, Gambusinos 67. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.83, Gambusinos 1.85.
- Oct 1: El Calor de Cancun 82, Gambusinos 71. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.75, Gambusinos 1.98.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Gambusinos coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Dorados coming into this game.
- 4-12 away for Gambusinos this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Dorados.
- 182.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DOR moneyline | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| GAM moneyline | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| DOR spread | −8.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 |  Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 |  Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 |  Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 | Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 |  Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 | Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 |  El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 |  Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dorados host Gambusinos in the LNBP on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.