Dorados vs Gambusinos Prediction & Odds — Oct 11

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LNBP Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start18:00ET

DoradosHome · 17-11 · 6th · 1.40

9827192626

GambusinosAway · 11-17 · 10th · 2.72

8314182625

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Dorados 27 19 26 26

Gambusinos 14 18 26 25

FT Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · MexicoGimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.42 73%

Dorados to win edge −14.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.42 Dorados to win Confidence73% model 62.3% · market 76.6% edge −14.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.42 62.3% 76.6% −14.3% 73% Won

Total points U175.5 1.42 68.7% 65.4% +3.3% 62% Lost

Point spread GAM +14.5 1.28 74.6% 71.7% +2.9% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados9886

Gambusinos8381

Total 167 actual 181

Winning margin DOR by 5 actual DOR by 15

Chance to win DOR 62% DOR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados9886

Gambusinos8381

Total 167 Margin DOR by 5 Win DOR 62% Actual 181 · DOR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Dorados large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Gambusinos

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Dorados vs Gambusinos

Dorados Gambusinos

Last 30 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Dorados 3-2

Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
Oct 2: Panteras 81, Dorados 83. Won. Odds: Panteras 1.39, Dorados 2.75.
Oct 1: Panteras 91, Dorados 85. Lost. Odds: Panteras 1.72, Dorados 2.00.
Sep 26: Dorados 64, Soles 97. Lost. Odds: Dorados 2.65, Soles 1.40.

Gambusinos 1-4

Oct 7: Astros 86, Gambusinos 71. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.19, Gambusinos 4.15.
Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Oct 2: El Calor de Cancun 74, Gambusinos 67. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.83, Gambusinos 1.85.
Oct 1: El Calor de Cancun 82, Gambusinos 71. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.75, Gambusinos 1.98.
Sep 26: Gambusinos 102, Correcaminos 83. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.25, Correcaminos 3.40.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DOR moneyline	1.22	moved up 1.40
GAM moneyline	4.00	moved down 2.72
Total points	168.5	168.5
DOR spread	−8.5	moved up −5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Dorados host Gambusinos in the LNBP on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.