Dorados vs Fuerza Regia Prediction & Odds — Oct 22

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LNBP Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu, Oct 22 Start22:00ET Quarter-finals

DoradosHome · 17-11 · 6th · 2.18

1202628242517

Fuerza RegiaAway · 19-9 · 3rd · 1.53

1162830252013

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Dorados 26 28 24 25 17

Fuerza Regia 28 30 25 20 13

AOT Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · MexicoGimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · Quarter-finals

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

FUE +5.5 1.31 85%

Fuerza Regia +5.5 on the spread edge +2.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won FUE +5.5 1.31 Fuerza Regia +5.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 73.2% · market 70.9% edge +2.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.55 59.6% 58.9% +0.7% 69% Lost

Total points U179.5 1.40 66.8% 65.4% +1.4% 60% Lost

Point spread FUE +5.5 1.31 73.2% 70.9% +2.3% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados12084

Fuerza Regia11688

Total 172 actual 236

Winning margin FUE by 4 actual DOR by 4

Chance to win FUE 60% DOR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados12084

Fuerza Regia11688

Total 172 Margin FUE by 4 Win FUE 60% Actual 236 · DOR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Dorados large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fuerza Regia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Dorados vs Fuerza Regia

Dorados Fuerza Regia

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Dorados 3-2

Oct 19: Fuerza Regia 80, Dorados 76. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.40, Dorados 2.50.
Oct 18: Fuerza Regia 101, Dorados 90. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.38, Dorados 2.60.
Oct 12: Dorados 88, Gambusinos 87. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.24, Gambusinos 3.65.
Oct 11: Dorados 98, Gambusinos 83. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.40, Gambusinos 2.72.
Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.

Fuerza Regia 3-2

Oct 19: Fuerza Regia 80, Dorados 76. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.40, Dorados 2.50.
Oct 18: Fuerza Regia 101, Dorados 90. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.38, Dorados 2.60.
Oct 7: Soles 75, Fuerza Regia 92. Won. Odds: Soles 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.10.
Oct 6: Soles 88, Fuerza Regia 86. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.36, Fuerza Regia 2.85.
Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DOR moneyline	2.25	moved down 2.18
FUE moneyline	1.57	moved down 1.53
Total points	172.5	172.5
DOR spread	+3.5	+3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Dorados host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.