Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun Prediction & Odds

LNBP Wednesday, September 16, 2026Wed, Sep 16 Start22:00ET Round 20

DoradosHome · 17-11 · 6th · 1.42

9722292224

El Calor de CancunAway · 9-19 · 12th · 2.65

8628261913

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Dorados 22 29 22 24

El Calor de Cancun 28 26 19 13

FT Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · MexicoGimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre · Round 20

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.51 50%

Dorados to win edge −23.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.51 Dorados to win Confidence50% model 50.8% · market 74.2% edge −23.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.51 50.8% 74.2% −23.4% 50% Won

Total points U174.5 2.00 68.4% 50.3% +18.1% 50% Lost

Point spread ECD +8.5 1.80 69.1% 50.0% +19.1% 50% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados9783

El Calor de Cancun8682

Total 165 actual 183

Winning margin DOR by 1 actual DOR by 11

Chance to win DOR 51% DOR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Dorados9783

El Calor de Cancun8682

Total 165 Margin DOR by 1 Win DOR 51% Actual 183 · DOR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 16+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Dorados large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction El Calor de Cancun

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun

Dorados El Calor de Cancun

Last 30 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Dorados 3-2

Sep 15: Dorados 91, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.67.
Sep 11: Correcaminos 85, Dorados 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Sep 10: Correcaminos 79, Dorados 86. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 30: Dorados 82, Mineros 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 29: Dorados 95, Mineros 71. Won. No odds on record.

El Calor de Cancun 1-4

Sep 15: Dorados 91, El Calor de Cancun 89. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.67.
Sep 11: El Calor de Cancun 82, Panteras 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Sep 10: El Calor de Cancun 103, Panteras 88. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 30: Soles 89, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 29: Soles 102, El Calor de Cancun 75. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DOR moneyline	1.24	moved up 1.42
ECD moneyline	3.65	moved down 2.65
Total points	174.5	moved up 176.5
DOR spread · regulation	−8.5	moved up −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Dorados host El Calor de Cancun in the LNBP on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.