Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin DOR by 7 Win DOR 67% Actual 180 · DOR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun
Last 30 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions
Dorados at home, last 14 games · El Calor de Cancun away, last 12
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dorados 2, El Calor de Cancun 1.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DOR by 11 Sep 16, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 16, 2026 LNBP Dorados 97–86 El Calor de Cancun 183 pts
- Sep 9, 2025 LNBP Dorados 83–77 El Calor de Cancun 160 pts
- Sep 8, 2025 LNBP Dorados 90–92 El Calor de Cancun 182 pts
Last five games
- Sep 11: Correcaminos 85, Dorados 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: Correcaminos 79, Dorados 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 30: Dorados 82, Mineros 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 29: Dorados 95, Mineros 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Santos 94, Dorados 102. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: El Calor de Cancun 82, Panteras 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: El Calor de Cancun 103, Panteras 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 30: Soles 89, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 29: Soles 102, El Calor de Cancun 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: El Calor de Cancun 79, Astros 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-11 away for El Calor de Cancun this season.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Dorados.
- 1-4 in the last five for El Calor de Cancun.
- 175.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 170.5.
- 6th vs 12th in the LNBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DOR moneyline | 1.39 | moved up 1.42 |
| ECD moneyline | 2.77 | moved down 2.67 |
| Total points | 170.5 | 170.5 |
| DOR spread · regulation | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dorados host El Calor de Cancun in the LNBP on Tuesday, September 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.