Donar Groningen vs Spirou Charleroi prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin DON by 3 Win DON 59% Actual 153 · SPI won
Donar Groningen vs Spirou Charleroi
Last 8 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Donar Groningen 1, Spirou Charleroi 1.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPI by 3 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 BNXT League Spirou Charleroi 100–97 OT Donar Groningen 197 pts · OT
- Apr 8, 2026 BNXT League Donar Groningen 83–74 Spirou Charleroi 157 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Donar Groningen 81, Leuven Bears 78. Won. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.72, Leuven Bears 1.95.
- Oct 2: Kortrijk 76, Donar Groningen 85. Won. Odds: Kortrijk 1.26, Donar Groningen 3.40.
- Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.
- Sep 24: Anwil Wloclawek 97, Donar Groningen 81. Lost. Odds: Anwil Wloclawek 1.37, Donar Groningen 2.92.
- Sep 12: Zwolle 70, Donar Groningen 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 9: Spirou Charleroi 98, Belfius Mons 60. Won. Odds: Spirou Charleroi 1.04, Belfius Mons 7.50.
- Oct 3: Leuven Bears 69, Spirou Charleroi 65. Lost. Odds: Leuven Bears 1.79, Spirou Charleroi 1.97.
- May 9: Spirou Charleroi 82, Antwerp Giants 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Belfius Mons 79, Spirou Charleroi 101. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: Zwolle 78, Spirou Charleroi 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Spirou Charleroi dropped from 2.42 to 2.04 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Donar Groningen, 4 for Spirou Charleroi.
- Net rating difference of 23.5 — Donar Groningen −5.0 per 100 possessions, Spirou Charleroi +18.5.
- 10th vs 5th in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DON moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.69 |
| SPI moneyline | 2.42 | moved down 2.04 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| DON spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 | |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 | |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Donar Groningen host Spirou Charleroi in the BNXT League on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.