Donar Groningen vs Leuven Bears prediction
Donar Groningen
11
29
22
19
Leuven Bears
13
17
23
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Donar Groningen8182Leuven Bears7876Donar Groningen8182Leuven Bears7876Total 158 Margin DON by 6 Win DON 64% Actual 159 · DON won
Donar Groningen
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Leuven Bears
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Donar Groningen vs Leuven Bears
Donar Groningen
Leuven Bears
Last 8 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Donar Groningen 1, Leuven Bears 1.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEU by 8 Feb 21, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 21, 2026 BNXT League Leuven Bears 86–78 Donar Groningen 164 pts
- Nov 11, 2025 BNXT League Donar Groningen 82–76 Leuven Bears 158 pts
Last five games
Donar Groningen
1-4 - Oct 2: Kortrijk 76, Donar Groningen 85. Won. Odds: Kortrijk 1.26, Donar Groningen 3.40.
- Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.
- Sep 24: Anwil Wloclawek 97, Donar Groningen 81. Lost. Odds: Anwil Wloclawek 1.37, Donar Groningen 2.92.
- Sep 12: Zwolle 70, Donar Groningen 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Donar Groningen 71, Limburg 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Leuven Bears
3-2 - Oct 3: Leuven Bears 69, Spirou Charleroi 65. Won. Odds: Leuven Bears 1.79, Spirou Charleroi 1.97.
- May 9: BAL Weert 65, Leuven Bears 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Leuven Bears 69, Zwolle 61. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Leuven Bears 86, Kortrijk 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Spirou Charleroi 73, Leuven Bears 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Leuven Bears coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.6 — Donar Groningen −5.0 per 100 possessions, Leuven Bears +1.6.
- 1-4 in the last five for Donar Groningen.
- 10th vs 8th in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DON moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.72 |
| LEU moneyline | 2.12 | moved down 1.95 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| DON spread | −2.5 | −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 |
| 2 |  Liege |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 |  Okapi Aalst |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 |
| 4 |  Oostende |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 |
| 5 |  Spirou Charleroi |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 |
| 6 |  Limburg |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 |
| 8 | Leuven Bears |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 |
| 9 |  Zwolle |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 |
| 10 | Donar Groningen |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 |
| 11 |  Leiden |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Mechelen |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 |
| 15 |  CB Liege |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Donar Groningen host Leuven Bears in the BNXT League on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.