Diablos Rojos vs Astros prediction
Diablos Rojos
30
9
20
18
Astros
20
30
21
30
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Diablos Rojos7787Astros10186Diablos Rojos7787Astros10186Total 173 Margin DIA by 1 Win DIA 53% Actual 178 · AST won
Diablos Rojos
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Astros
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Diablos Rojos vs Astros
Diablos Rojos
Astros
Last 28 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Diablos Rojos at home, last 12 games · Astros away, last 13
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Diablos Rojos 2, Astros 3.
- Average total 151.6 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting AST by 19 Sep 27, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 27, 2026 LNBP Diablos Rojos 67–86 Astros 153 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 LNBP Astros 63–83 Diablos Rojos 146 pts
- Oct 30, 2025 LNBP Astros 66–77 Diablos Rojos 143 pts
- Oct 27, 2025 LNBP Diablos Rojos 68–69 Astros 137 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 LNBP Diablos Rojos 80–99 Astros 179 pts
Last five games
Diablos Rojos
3-2 - Sep 21: El Calor de Cancun 83, Diablos Rojos 86. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 20: El Calor de Cancun 86, Diablos Rojos 74. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.02, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 16: Diablos Rojos 96, Correcaminos 91. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.24, Correcaminos 3.70.
- Sep 15: Diablos Rojos 107, Correcaminos 79. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.36, Correcaminos 2.90.
- Sep 10: Mineros 98, Diablos Rojos 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Astros
3-2 - Sep 20: Astros 77, Dorados 79. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.15, Dorados 4.75.
- Sep 19: Astros 87, Dorados 80. After overtime. Won. Odds: Astros 1.28, Dorados 3.30.
- Sep 17: Panteras 83, Astros 98. Won. Odds: Panteras 2.62, Astros 1.44.
- Sep 16: Panteras 95, Astros 83. Lost. Odds: Panteras 2.07, Astros 1.67.
- Sep 12: Astros 81, Soles 74. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Diablos Rojos dropped from 2.25 to 1.82 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.4 — Diablos Rojos −5.1 per 100 possessions, Astros +11.3.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Astros.
- +6.4 points at home — Diablos Rojos averaged 85.7 at home and 79.3 away this season.
- 151.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 167.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DIA moneyline | 2.25 | moved down 1.82 |
| AST moneyline | 1.60 | moved up 1.88 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| DIA spread · regulation | +3.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 | Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 |  Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 |  Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 |  Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 | Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 |  Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 |  El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 |  Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Diablos Rojos host Astros in the LNBP on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.