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Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns prediction

NBA Monday, October 5, 2026Mon, Oct 5 Start19:00ET
Detroit PistonsHome · 5-1 · 5th · Moneyline odds up 1.69
1091st quarter 212nd quarter 293rd quarter 344th quarter 25
Phoenix SunsAway · 1-4 · 13th · Moneyline odds down 2.20
1071st quarter 352nd quarter 333rd quarter 164th quarter 23
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit Pistons 21 29 34 25
Phoenix Suns 35 33 16 23
FT Little Caesars Arena · USALittle Caesars Arena
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Lost
1 odds up 1.70 64% confidence
Detroit Pistons to win edge −0.3%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 odds up 1.70 Detroit Pistons to win Confidence64% model 56.8% · market 57.1% edge −0.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.70 56.8% 57.1% −0.3% 64% Lost
Total points U219.5 1.71 50.5% 49.7% +0.8% 51% Won
Point spread PHX +3.5 odds down 1.76 51.1% 51.3% −0.2% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Detroit Pistons109111
Phoenix Suns107108
Total 219 actual 216
Winning margin DET by 3 actual DET by 2
Chance to win DET 57% DET won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Detroit Pistons109111
Phoenix Suns107108

Total 219 Margin DET by 3 Win DET 57% Actual 216 · DET won

Detroit Pistons host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Monday, October 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.