Derthona Basket vs Roseto prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 138 Margin DER by 12 Win DER 79% Actual 138 · DER won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Derthona Basket vs Roseto
Last 8 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Derthona Basket at home, last 4 games · Roseto away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Derthona Basket 2, Roseto 0.
- Average total 160.5 points per meeting
- Over 139.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DER by 12 Feb 15, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 15, 2026 Serie A1 Women Roseto 73–85 Derthona Basket 158 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 Serie A1 Women Derthona Basket 86–77 Roseto 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 29: Landerneau Bretagne 68, Derthona Basket 73. Won. Odds: Landerneau Bretagne 1.47, Derthona Basket 2.25.
- Oct 25: Campobasso 62, Derthona Basket 68. After overtime. Won. Odds: Campobasso 1.42, Derthona Basket 2.45.
- Oct 22: Derthona Basket 73, AZS Poznan 64. Won. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.57, AZS Poznan 2.12.
- Oct 18: Derthona Basket 60, Broni 66. Lost. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.04, Broni 5.00.
- Oct 15: Fribourg 60, Derthona Basket 71. Won. Odds: Fribourg 8.20, Derthona Basket 1.05.
- Oct 25: Roseto 38, San Giovanni 58. Lost. Odds: Roseto 1.88, San Giovanni 1.80.
- Oct 18: Costa Masnaga 64, Roseto 83. Won. Odds: Costa Masnaga 4.20, Roseto 1.14.
- Oct 11: Roseto 79, Libertas Livorno 74. Won. Odds: Roseto 1.53, Libertas Livorno 2.21.
- Oct 3: San Martino 84, Roseto 75. Lost. Odds: San Martino 1.72, Roseto 1.95.
- Apr 6: Roseto 63, Venezia 64. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Derthona Basket coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Derthona Basket dropped from 1.20 to 1.07 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Roseto, 2 for Derthona Basket.
- Over/under moved down from 144.5 to 139.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 20.4 — Derthona Basket +17.1 per 100 possessions, Roseto −3.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DER moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.07 |
| ROS moneyline | 3.75 | moved up 5.50 |
| Total points | 144.5 | moved down 139.5 |
| DER spread | −8.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A1 Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 356 | 223 | +133 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 338 | 251 | +87 | |
| 3 | Derthona Basket | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 240 | +61 |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 258 | 252 | +6 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 270 | 270 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 269 | 305 | −36 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 275 | 280 | −5 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 394 | 355 | +39 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 265 | 279 | −14 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 283 | 317 | −34 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 166 | 264 | −98 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 238 | 377 | −139 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Derthona Basket host Roseto in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.