Derthona Basket vs Broni Prediction & Odds

Serie A1 Women Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start08:30ET Round 3

Derthona BasketHome · 1.04

6012221412

BroniAway · 1-3 · 10th · 5.00

6615111624

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Derthona Basket 12 22 14 12

Broni 15 11 16 24

FT Palaoltrepo · ItalyPalaoltrepo · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.03 85%

Derthona Basket to win edge −4.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.03 Derthona Basket to win Confidence85% model 86.2% · market 90.3% edge −4.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.03 86.2% 90.3% −4.1% 85% Lost

Total points U141.5 2.04 54.7% 51.6% +3.1% 57% Won

Point spread BRO +20.5 1.84 47.7% 50.0% −2.3% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Derthona Basket6079

Broni6661

Total 140 actual 126

Winning margin DER by 18 actual BRO by 6

Chance to win DER 86% BRO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Derthona Basket6079

Broni6661

Total 140 Margin DER by 18 Win DER 86% Actual 126 · BRO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Derthona Basket large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Broni

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Derthona Basket vs Broni

Derthona Basket Broni

Last 8 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Derthona Basket 3-2

Oct 15: Fribourg 60, Derthona Basket 71. Won. Odds: Fribourg 8.20, Derthona Basket 1.05.
Oct 11: Brixia 58, Derthona Basket 98. Won. Odds: Brixia 5.91, Derthona Basket 1.08.
Oct 4: Derthona Basket 75, Battipaglia 54. Won. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.03, Battipaglia 7.59.
Apr 11: Derthona Basket 49, Schio 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 7: Schio 85, Derthona Basket 69. Lost. No odds on record.

Broni 0-5

Oct 11: Broni 73, Venezia 81. Lost. Odds: Broni 7.09, Venezia 1.04.
Oct 4: San Giovanni 94, Broni 71. Lost. Odds: San Giovanni 1.08, Broni 5.78.
Mar 29: Broni 54, Schio 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 25: Schio 77, Broni 57. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 4: Derthona Basket 76, Broni 51. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DER moneyline	1.01	moved up 1.04
BRO moneyline	9.35	moved down 5.00
Total points	140.5	moved up 147.5
DER spread	−20.5	moved up −19.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A1 Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Schio	4	4	0	1.000	356	223	+133
2	Venezia	4	4	0	1.000	338	251	+87
3	Derthona Basket	4	3	1	.750	301	240	+61
4	San Giovanni	4	3	1	.750	258	252	+6
5	Campobasso	4	2	2	.500	270	270	0
6	San Martino	4	2	2	.500	269	305	−36
7	Roseto	4	2	2	.500	275	280	−5
8	Libertas Livorno	5	2	3	.400	394	355	+39
9	Battipaglia	4	1	3	.250	265	279	−14
10	Broni	4	1	3	.250	283	317	−34
11	Costa Masnaga	3	0	3	.000	166	264	−98
12	Brixia	4	0	4	.000	238	377	−139

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Derthona Basket host Broni in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.