Derthona Basket vs Battipaglia Prediction & Odds

Serie A1 Women Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start07:45ET Round 1

Derthona BasketHome · 1.03

751626249

BattipagliaAway · 1-3 · 9th · 7.59

5416111017

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Derthona Basket 16 26 24 9

Battipaglia 16 11 10 17

FT Palaoltrepo · ItalyPalaoltrepo · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.01 89%

Derthona Basket to win edge −15.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.01 Derthona Basket to win Confidence89% model 75.0% · market 90.8% edge −15.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.01 75.0% 90.8% −15.8% 89% Won

Total points O138.5 1.76 56.7% 52.4% +4.3% 59% Lost

Point spread BAT +19.5 1.83 56.6% 50.0% +6.6% 63% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Derthona Basket7576

Battipaglia5465

Total 141 actual 129

Winning margin DER by 11 actual DER by 21

Chance to win DER 75% DER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Derthona Basket7576

Battipaglia5465

Total 141 Margin DER by 11 Win DER 75% Actual 129 · DER won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Derthona Basket large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Battipaglia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Derthona Basket vs Battipaglia

Derthona Basket Battipaglia

Last 8 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Derthona Basket 3-2

Apr 11: Derthona Basket 49, Schio 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 7: Schio 85, Derthona Basket 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 29: San Giovanni 70, Derthona Basket 78. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 25: Derthona Basket 76, San Giovanni 70. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 4: Derthona Basket 76, Broni 51. Won. No odds on record.

Battipaglia 2-3

Apr 16: Brixia 72, Battipaglia 63. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Battipaglia 74, Brixia 58. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 8: Brixia 95, Battipaglia 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 28: Campobasso 63, Battipaglia 57. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 22: Battipaglia 85, Brixia 66. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DER moneyline	1.01	moved up 1.03
BAT moneyline	10.00	moved down 7.59
Total points	139.5	139.5
DER spread	−19.5	moved down −20.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A1 Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Schio	4	4	0	1.000	356	223	+133
2	Venezia	4	4	0	1.000	338	251	+87
3	Derthona Basket	4	3	1	.750	301	240	+61
4	San Giovanni	4	3	1	.750	258	252	+6
5	Campobasso	4	2	2	.500	270	270	0
6	San Martino	4	2	2	.500	269	305	−36
7	Roseto	4	2	2	.500	275	280	−5
8	Libertas Livorno	5	2	3	.400	394	355	+39
9	Battipaglia	4	1	3	.250	265	279	−14
10	Broni	4	1	3	.250	283	317	−34
11	Costa Masnaga	3	0	3	.000	166	264	−98
12	Brixia	4	0	4	.000	238	377	−139

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Derthona Basket host Battipaglia in the Serie A1 Women on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.