Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Denver Nuggets
24
33
32
37
15
New Orleans Pelicans
38
35
35
18
9
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Denver Nuggets141125New Orleans Pelicans135113Denver Nuggets141125New Orleans Pelicans135113Total 238 Margin DEN by 12 Win DEN 75% Actual 276 · DEN won
Denver Nuggets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction New Orleans Pelicans
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans
Denver Nuggets
New Orleans Pelicans
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Denver Nuggets 4, New Orleans Pelicans 0.
- Average total 221.5 points per meeting
- Over 239.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DEN by 13 Oct 28, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 28, 2026 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 91–104 Denver Nuggets 195 pts
- Jan 13, 2026 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 116–122 Denver Nuggets 238 pts
- Nov 19, 2025 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 118–125 Denver Nuggets 243 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 NBA Denver Nuggets 122–88 New Orleans Pelicans 210 pts
Last five games
Denver Nuggets
4-1 - Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 16: Los Angeles Lakers 106, Denver Nuggets 121. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.61, Denver Nuggets 2.17.
- Oct 14: Los Angeles Clippers 110, Denver Nuggets 122. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 2.62, Denver Nuggets 1.45.
- Oct 11: Denver Nuggets 133, Chicago Bulls 128. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.35, Chicago Bulls 2.95.
- Oct 6: Utah Jazz 106, Denver Nuggets 117. Won. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.85, Denver Nuggets 1.95.
New Orleans Pelicans
2-3 - Oct 23: Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.88, New Orleans Pelicans 1.94.
- Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
- Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
- Oct 8: Miami Heat 128, New Orleans Pelicans 118. Lost. Odds: Miami Heat 1.30, New Orleans Pelicans 3.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for New Orleans Pelicans, who played yesterday.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Denver Nuggets.
- Over/under moved up from 237.5 to 239.5 since it was first published.
- +14.1 points at home — Denver Nuggets averaged 121.3 at home and 107.2 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Denver Nuggets.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DEN moneyline | 1.18 | moved up 1.19 |
| NOP moneyline | 4.40 | moved up 4.90 |
| Total points | 237.5 | moved up 239.5 |
| DEN spread | −11.5 | −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 | Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Denver Nuggets host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.