Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Denver Nuggets
32
24
28
30
Golden State Warriors
28
32
40
34
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Denver Nuggets114122Golden State Warriors134115Denver Nuggets114122Golden State Warriors134115Total 237 Margin DEN by 7 Win DEN 66% Actual 248 · GSW won
Denver Nuggets
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Warriors
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
Last 5 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Denver Nuggets 2, Golden State Warriors 2.
- Average total 238.8 points per meeting
- Over 236.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DEN by 23 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 NBA Denver Nuggets 116–93 Golden State Warriors 209 pts
- Feb 22, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 128–117 Denver Nuggets 245 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 NBA Denver Nuggets 129–104 Golden State Warriors 233 pts
- Oct 23, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 137–131 OT Denver Nuggets 268 pts · OT
Last five games
Denver Nuggets
4-1 - Oct 24: Denver Nuggets 141, New Orleans Pelicans 135. After overtime. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.19, New Orleans Pelicans 4.90.
- Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 16: Los Angeles Lakers 106, Denver Nuggets 121. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.61, Denver Nuggets 2.17.
- Oct 14: Los Angeles Clippers 110, Denver Nuggets 122. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 2.62, Denver Nuggets 1.45.
- Oct 11: Denver Nuggets 133, Chicago Bulls 128. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.35, Chicago Bulls 2.95.
Golden State Warriors
2-3 - Oct 24: Phoenix Suns 131, Golden State Warriors 122. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.23, Golden State Warriors 4.35.
- Oct 23: Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.59, Memphis Grizzlies 2.44.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
- Oct 16: Golden State Warriors 128, Portland Trail Blazers 118. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.04, Portland Trail Blazers 1.69.
- Oct 13: Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 2.08, Golden State Warriors 1.70.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Golden State Warriors coming into this game.
- +14.1 points at home — Denver Nuggets averaged 121.3 at home and 107.2 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Denver Nuggets.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 238.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 236.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DEN moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.36 |
| GSW moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 3.25 |
| Total points | 236.5 | 236.5 |
| DEN spread | −5.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 | Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Denver Nuggets host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.