Denizli Basket vs Tofas Prediction & Odds

Basketbol Süper Ligi Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start06:00ET Round 2

Denizli BasketHome · 2.23

10130202526

TofasAway · 2-4 · 9th · 1.63

8722142526

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Denizli Basket 30 20 25 26

Tofas 22 14 25 26

FT Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu · TurkeyPamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 2.23 62%

Denizli Basket to win edge +17.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 2.23 Denizli Basket to win Confidence62% model 69.8% · market 52.5% edge +17.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.23 69.8% 52.5% +17.3% 62% Won

Total points O162.5 1.42 61.3% 64.7% −3.4% 57% Won

Point spread DEN +2.5 1.88 73.7% 57.9% +15.8% 66% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Denizli Basket10193

Tofas8780

Total 173 actual 188

Winning margin DEN by 13 actual DEN by 14

Chance to win DEN 85% DEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Denizli Basket10193

Tofas8780

Total 173 Margin DEN by 13 Win DEN 85% Actual 188 · DEN won

Last five games

Denizli Basket 0-2

Sep 26: Petkim Spor 85, Denizli Basket 81. Lost. Odds: Petkim Spor 1.43, Denizli Basket 2.76.
Sep 15: Vechta 101, Denizli Basket 98. Lost. Odds: Vechta 1.30, Denizli Basket 3.25.

Tofas 4-1

Sep 29: Tofas 82, Chemnitz 69. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.21, Chemnitz 4.17.
Sep 25: Tofas 90, Bordo Bandirma 89. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.29, Bordo Bandirma 3.25.
May 10: Tofas 73, Petkim Spor 71. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Tofas 87, Karsiyaka 78. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Bahcesehir Kol. 78, Tofas 76. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DEN moneyline	1.70	moved up 2.23
TOF moneyline	2.05	moved down 1.63
Total points	170.5	170.5
DEN spread	−1.5	moved up +3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basketbol Süper Ligi standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Turk Telekom	6	5	1	11	491	430	+61
2	Bahcesehir Kol.	6	5	1	11	552	520	+32
3	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	10	530	498	+32
4	Trabzonspor	6	4	2	10	500	492	+8
5	Esenler Erokspor	6	4	2	10	499	503	−4
6	Anadolu Efes	5	4	1	9	428	386	+42
7	Galatasaray	6	3	3	9	530	475	+55
8	Karsiyaka	6	3	3	9	485	495	−10
9	Tofas	6	2	4	8	476	508	−32
10	Petkim Spor	5	3	2	8	418	417	+1
11	Korfez Basket	6	2	4	8	492	507	−15
12	Bordo Bandirma	6	2	4	8	498	514	−16
13	Besiktas	5	2	3	7	413	444	−31
14	Denizli Basket	6	1	5	7	478	516	−38
15	Bursaspor	6	1	5	7	465	507	−42
16	Cayirova	5	1	4	6	402	445	−43

Playoffs
Relegation - TBL

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Denizli Basket host Tofas in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Denizli Basket vs Tofas prediction

All predictions