Denizli Basket vs BC Prievidza prediction
Denizli Basket
30
19
16
18
BC Prievidza
21
20
16
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Denizli Basket8395BC Prievidza6986Denizli Basket8395BC Prievidza6986Total 181 Margin DEN by 9 Win DEN 66% Actual 152 · DEN won
Denizli Basket vs BC Prievidza
Denizli Basket
BC Prievidza
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Denizli Basket at home, last 4 games · BC Prievidza away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Denizli Basket
1-2 - Oct 3: Denizli Basket 101, Tofas 87. Won. Odds: Denizli Basket 2.23, Tofas 1.63.
- Sep 26: Petkim Spor 85, Denizli Basket 81. Lost. Odds: Petkim Spor 1.43, Denizli Basket 2.76.
- Sep 15: Vechta 101, Denizli Basket 98. Lost. Odds: Vechta 1.30, Denizli Basket 3.25.
BC Prievidza
4-1 - Oct 3: Kosice Wolves 77, BC Prievidza 104. Won. Odds: Kosice Wolves 5.61, BC Prievidza 1.13.
- Sep 30: BC Prievidza 98, Samobor 65. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.18, Samobor 4.05.
- Sep 27: BC Prievidza 97, BKM Lucenec 79. Won. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.17, BKM Lucenec 4.20.
- Sep 23: Samobor 83, BC Prievidza 103. Won. Odds: Samobor 1.67, BC Prievidza 2.05.
- May 6: BC Prievidza 66, Levice 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for BC Prievidza coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Denizli Basket dropped from 1.19 to 1.10 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 171.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 24.3 — Denizli Basket −5.8 per 100 possessions, BC Prievidza +18.5.
- Different pace — Denizli Basket averaged 74.0 possessions per game, BC Prievidza 81.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DEN moneyline | 1.19 | moved down 1.10 |
| PRI moneyline | 4.41 | moved up 6.15 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| DEN spread | −11.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 |  Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 | BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 |  Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Denizli Basket host BC Prievidza in the FIBA Europe Cup on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.