Defensor vs Goes prediction
Defensor
29
18
14
22
Goes
23
15
19
7
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Defensor8387Goes6481Defensor8387Goes6481Total 168 Margin DEF by 6 Win DEF 64% Actual 147 · DEF won
Defensor
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Goes
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Defensor vs Goes
Defensor
Goes
Last 27 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Defensor at home, last 18 games · Goes away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Defensor 1, Goes 1.
- Average total 192.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GOE by 7 Jan 12, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 12, 2026 Liga Uruguaya Goes 99–92 Defensor 191 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Liga Uruguaya Defensor 102–91 Goes 193 pts
Last five games
Defensor
1-4 - May 26: Penarol 93, Defensor 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 22: Defensor 61, Penarol 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: Penarol 101, Defensor 51. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 15: Defensor 85, Malvin 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 12: Malvin 83, Defensor 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Goes
3-2 - Mar 23: Urunday 88, Goes 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: Welcome 83, Goes 103. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 17: Bigua 94, Goes 97. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 13: Union Atletica 94, Goes 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Goes 94, Cordon 87. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Defensor coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Goes dropped from 3.25 to 2.55 since they were first published.
- 11th vs 2nd in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DEF moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.38 |
| GOE moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.55 |
| Total points | 165.5 | 165.5 |
| DEF spread | −6.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 | Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 |  Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 |  Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 |  Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 |  Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 |  Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 | Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 |  Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Defensor host Goes in the Liga Uruguaya on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.