Decin vs USK Prague Prediction & Odds

NBL Wednesday, September 23, 2026Wed, Sep 23 Start12:00ET Round 2

DecinHome · 6-2 · 3rd · 1.75

7414201624

USK PragueAway · 4-6 · 7th · 2.01

5715171411

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Decin 14 20 16 24

USK Prague 15 17 14 11

FT ARMEX Sportcentrum · Czech RepublicARMEX Sportcentrum · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 2.15 53%

USK Prague to win edge +36.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 2.15 USK Prague to win Confidence53% model 56.9% · market 20.4% edge +36.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.15 56.9% 20.4% +36.5% 53% Lost

Total points O164.5 1.81 53.3% 51.1% +2.2% 55% Lost

Point spread PRA +8.5 1.80 77.1% 48.5% +28.6% 65% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Decin7479

USK Prague5787

Total 166 actual 131

Winning margin PRA by 8 actual DEC by 17

Chance to win PRA 72% DEC won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Decin7479

USK Prague5787

Total 166 Margin PRA by 8 Win PRA 72% Actual 131 · DEC won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Decin large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction USK Prague

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Decin vs USK Prague

Decin USK Prague

Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Decin 2-3

Sep 17: Plzen 79, Decin 109. Won. Odds: Plzen 8.60, Decin 1.02.
May 11: Brno 98, Decin 78. Lost. No odds on record.
May 8: Decin 81, Brno 86. Lost. No odds on record.
May 5: Brno 75, Decin 65. Lost. No odds on record.
May 2: Decin 84, Brno 75. Won. No odds on record.

USK Prague 0-5

Sep 19: USK Prague 80, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 88. Lost. Odds: USK Prague 10.20, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.01.
Apr 23: USK Prague 92, Srsni Pisek 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 21: Srsni Pisek 78, USK Prague 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: USK Prague 76, Slavia Prague 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Olomoucko 95, USK Prague 65. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
DEC moneyline	1.58	moved up 1.75
PRA moneyline	2.31	moved down 2.01
Total points	164.5	164.5
DEC spread · regulation	−8.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	9	8	1	.889	893	722	+171
2	Pardubice	11	9	2	.818	985	862	+123
3	Decin	8	6	2	.750	683	602	+81
4	Usti n. Labem	9	6	3	.667	789	704	+85
5	NH Ostrava	9	6	3	.667	768	713	+55
6	Srsni Pisek	8	5	3	.625	714	691	+23
7	USK Prague	10	4	6	.400	837	857	−20
8	Brno	9	3	6	.333	728	763	−35
9	Hradec Kralove	9	3	6	.333	778	844	−66
10	Opava	9	3	6	.333	751	819	−68
11	Olomoucko	9	1	8	.111	585	789	−204
12	Plzen	10	1	9	.100	762	907	−145

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Decin host USK Prague in the NBL on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.