Decin vs Brno prediction
Decin
32
17
21
16
Brno
17
16
23
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Decin8680Brno7887Decin8680Brno7887Total 167 Margin BRN by 7 Win BRN 66% Actual 164 · DEC won
Decin
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brno
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Decin vs Brno
Decin
Brno
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Decin 2, Brno 3.
- Average total 158.0 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRN by 20 May 11, 2026
Meetings
- May 11, 2026 NBL Brno 98–78 Decin 176 pts
- May 8, 2026 NBL Decin 81–86 Brno 167 pts
- May 5, 2026 NBL Brno 75–65 Decin 140 pts
- May 2, 2026 NBL Decin 84–75 Brno 159 pts
- May 1, 2026 NBL Decin 82–66 Brno 148 pts
Last five games
Decin
2-3 - Sep 26: Opava 83, Decin 76. Lost. Odds: Opava 1.44, Decin 2.64.
- Sep 23: Decin 74, USK Prague 57. Won. Odds: Decin 1.75, USK Prague 2.01.
- Sep 17: Plzen 79, Decin 109. Won. Odds: Plzen 8.60, Decin 1.02.
- May 11: Brno 98, Decin 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Decin 81, Brno 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Brno
0-5 - Sep 26: Brno 96, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 108. Lost. Odds: Brno 7.50, Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.05.
- Sep 23: NH Ostrava 85, Brno 76. Lost. Odds: NH Ostrava 1.44, Brno 2.63.
- Sep 19: Pardubice 85, Brno 79. Lost. Odds: Pardubice 1.13, Brno 5.10.
- Jun 6: Brno 101, Opava 102. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Opava 96, Brno 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Brno coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.3 — Decin +8.0 per 100 possessions, Brno −4.3.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Brno.
- 158.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 164.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DEC moneyline | 1.37 | moved up 1.40 |
| BRN moneyline | 2.92 | moved down 2.80 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| DEC spread · regulation | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague ERA NBK |
9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 |
| 3 | Decin |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 |
| 4 |  Usti n. Labem |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 |
| 5 |  NH Ostrava |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 |
| 6 |  Srsni Pisek |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 |
| 7 |  USK Prague |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 |
| 8 | Brno |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 |
| 9 |  Hradec Kralove |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 |
| 10 |  Opava |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 |
| 11 |  Olomoucko |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 |
| 12 |  Plzen |
10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Decin host Brno in the NBL on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.