Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury prediction
Dallas Wings
19
37
12
19
Phoenix Mercury
24
25
15
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Dallas Wings8787Phoenix Mercury8285Dallas Wings8787Phoenix Mercury8285Total 172 Margin DAL by 2 Win DAL 54% Actual 169 · DAL won
Dallas Wings
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Phoenix Mercury
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury
Dallas Wings
Phoenix Mercury
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Dallas Wings at home, last 23 games · Phoenix Mercury away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dallas Wings 3, Phoenix Mercury 2.
- Average total 172.4 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PHO by 1 Sep 21, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 21, 2026 WNBA Phoenix Mercury 87–86 Dallas Wings 173 pts
- Jun 11, 2026 WNBA Dallas Wings 85–70 Phoenix Mercury 155 pts
- Sep 11, 2025 WNBA Dallas Wings 97–76 Phoenix Mercury 173 pts
- Jul 7, 2025 WNBA Phoenix Mercury 102–72 Dallas Wings 174 pts
- Jul 3, 2025 WNBA Dallas Wings 98–89 Phoenix Mercury 187 pts
Last five games
Dallas Wings
5-0 - Sep 17: Dallas Wings 97, Los Angeles Sparks 77. Won. Odds: Dallas Wings 1.26, Los Angeles Sparks 3.68.
- Aug 30: Dallas Wings 97, Connecticut Sun 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Dallas Wings 96, Portland Fire 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Dallas Wings 92, Seattle Storm 70. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 20: Dallas Wings 91, Indiana Fever 85. Won. No odds on record.
Phoenix Mercury
2-3 - Sep 17: Portland Fire 91, Phoenix Mercury 94. Won. Odds: Portland Fire 2.25, Phoenix Mercury 1.61.
- Aug 29: Phoenix Mercury 101, Toronto Tempo 69. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: Phoenix Mercury 73, Washington Mystics 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Phoenix Mercury 84, Washington Mystics 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 22: Phoenix Mercury 89, Atlanta Dream 99. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Dallas Wings and Phoenix Mercury played yesterday.
- 5-game winning streak for Dallas Wings coming into this game.
- 18-6 at home for Dallas Wings this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dallas Wings.
- 172.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DAL moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.18 |
| PHO moneyline | 3.65 | moved up 4.70 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| DAL spread | −7.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 | Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 5 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 8 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dallas Wings host Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.