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Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks prediction

WNBA Thursday, September 17, 2026Thu, Sep 17 Start20:00ET
Dallas WingsHome · 27-17 · 4th · Moneyline odds down 1.26
971st quarter 252nd quarter 193rd quarter 254th quarter 28
Los Angeles SparksAway · 16-28 · 6th · Moneyline odds up 3.68
771st quarter 252nd quarter 193rd quarter 144th quarter 19
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas Wings 25 19 25 28
Los Angeles Sparks 25 19 14 19
FT College Park Center · USACollege Park Center
Best tip of the game
Total points Won
U181.5 1.71 50% confidence
Under 181.5 points edge −1.4%
Best tip of the game Total points · Won U181.5 1.71 Under 181.5 points Confidence50% model 60.1% · market 61.5% edge −1.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.26 68.2% 70.6% −2.4% 50% Lost
Total points U181.5 1.71 60.1% 61.5% −1.4% 50% Won
Point spread DAL -7.5 odds down 1.86 51.3% 50.0% +1.3% 50% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Dallas Wings9792
Los Angeles Sparks7784
Total 176 actual 174
Winning margin DAL by 8 actual DAL by 20
Chance to win DAL 68% DAL won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Dallas Wings9792
Los Angeles Sparks7784

Total 176 Margin DAL by 8 Win DAL 68% Actual 174 · DAL won

Dallas Wings host Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.