Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin DAL by 8 Win DAL 68% Actual 174 · DAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Dallas Wings at home, last 23 games · Los Angeles Sparks away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dallas Wings 2, Los Angeles Sparks 3.
- Average total 178.8 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DAL by 8 Jul 19, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 19, 2026 WNBA Dallas Wings 90–82 Los Angeles Sparks 172 pts
- Jun 5, 2026 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 96–104 Dallas Wings 200 pts
- Sep 7, 2025 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 91–77 Dallas Wings 168 pts
- Aug 20, 2025 WNBA Los Angeles Sparks 81–80 Dallas Wings 161 pts
- Aug 15, 2025 WNBA Dallas Wings 96–97 Los Angeles Sparks 193 pts
Last five games
- Aug 30: Dallas Wings 97, Connecticut Sun 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 25: Dallas Wings 96, Portland Fire 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 23: Dallas Wings 92, Seattle Storm 70. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 20: Dallas Wings 91, Indiana Fever 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 17: Golden State Valkyries 78, Dallas Wings 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 30: Seattle Storm 74, Los Angeles Sparks 90. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Washington Mystics 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 24: Los Angeles Sparks 71, Atlanta Dream 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 22: Los Angeles Sparks 77, Connecticut Sun 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 20: Los Angeles Sparks 88, Atlanta Dream 124. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Dallas Wings coming into this game.
- 18-6 at home for Dallas Wings this season.
- Over/under moved up from 176.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.7 — Dallas Wings +1.5 per 100 possessions, Los Angeles Sparks −5.2.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Los Angeles Sparks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DAL moneyline | 1.31 | moved down 1.26 |
| LAS moneyline | 3.40 | moved up 3.68 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| DAL spread | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 5 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 6 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 7 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 8 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dallas Wings host Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.