Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries prediction
Dallas Wings
23
27
22
21
15
Golden State Valkyries
26
19
29
19
7
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Dallas Wings10883Golden State Valkyries10081Dallas Wings10883Golden State Valkyries10081Total 164 Margin DAL by 2 Win DAL 56% Actual 208 · DAL won
Dallas Wings
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Valkyries
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries
Dallas Wings
Golden State Valkyries
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Dallas Wings at home, last 23 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dallas Wings 0, Golden State Valkyries 5.
- Average total 164.6 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 4 Oct 2, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 2, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 77–73 Dallas Wings 150 pts
- Sep 27, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 104–80 Dallas Wings 184 pts
- Aug 17, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 78–70 Dallas Wings 148 pts
- Aug 7, 2026 WNBA Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries 170 pts
- Jun 17, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 91–80 Dallas Wings 171 pts
Last five games
Dallas Wings
3-2 - Sep 27: Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: Seattle Storm 91, Dallas Wings 103. Won. Odds: Seattle Storm 3.50, Dallas Wings 1.30.
- Sep 21: Phoenix Mercury 87, Dallas Wings 86. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Mercury 2.76, Dallas Wings 1.43.
- Sep 19: Dallas Wings 87, Phoenix Mercury 82. Won. Odds: Dallas Wings 1.18, Phoenix Mercury 4.70.
- Sep 17: Dallas Wings 97, Los Angeles Sparks 77. Won. Odds: Dallas Wings 1.26, Los Angeles Sparks 3.68.
Golden State Valkyries
4-1 - Sep 27: Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 24: Los Angeles Sparks 75, Golden State Valkyries 76. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Sparks 4.90, Golden State Valkyries 1.17.
- Sep 22: Portland Fire 90, Golden State Valkyries 82. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Portland Fire 7.60, Golden State Valkyries 1.08.
- Sep 19: Golden State Valkyries 70, Seattle Storm 57. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.11, Seattle Storm 6.00.
- Sep 18: Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 66. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.10, Portland Fire 5.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Golden State Valkyries.
- 18-6 at home for Dallas Wings this season.
- Over/under moved up from 155.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Golden State Valkyries.
- 164.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 157.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DAL moneyline | 2.45 | moved up 2.50 |
| GSV moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.55 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| DAL spread | +4.5 | +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 | Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 5 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 7 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 8 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dallas Wings host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.