Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 224 Margin SAS by 10 Win SAS 71% Actual 228 · SAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dallas Mavericks 0, San Antonio Spurs 4.
- Average total 249.3 points per meeting
- Over 230.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAS by 19 Apr 10, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 10, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 139–120 Dallas Mavericks 259 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 NBA San Antonio Spurs 138–125 Dallas Mavericks 263 pts
- Feb 5, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 123–135 San Antonio Spurs 258 pts
- Oct 22, 2025 NBA Dallas Mavericks 92–125 San Antonio Spurs 217 pts
Last five games
- Oct 23: Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.38, Dallas Mavericks 3.15.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
- Oct 16: Dallas Mavericks 111, Atlanta Hawks 135. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 1.81, Atlanta Hawks 1.89.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
- Oct 11: Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.77, Dallas Mavericks 1.93.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 20: San Antonio Spurs 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 116. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.97, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.85.
- Oct 16: San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.11, Sacramento Kings 5.55.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 12: Utah Jazz 119, San Antonio Spurs 109. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.43, San Antonio Spurs 2.68.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on San Antonio Spurs dropped from 1.20 to 1.11 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Dallas Mavericks this season.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for San Antonio Spurs.
- −6.7 points away — San Antonio Spurs averaged 118.2 at home and 111.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DAL moneyline | 4.20 | moved up 7.00 |
| SAS moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.11 |
| Total points | 230.5 | 230.5 |
| DAL spread | +10.5 | moved up +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dallas Mavericks host San Antonio Spurs in the NBA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.