Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets prediction


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3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 229 Margin HOU by 7 Win HOU 67% Actual 227 · DAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dallas Mavericks 2, Houston Rockets 3.
- Average total 233.8 points per meeting
- Over 223.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOU by 18 Oct 21, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 21, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 128–110 Dallas Mavericks 238 pts
- Oct 11, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 115–132 Dallas Mavericks 247 pts
- Oct 9, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 117–135 Houston Rockets 252 pts
- Jan 31, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 111–107 Dallas Mavericks 218 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 NBA Dallas Mavericks 110–104 Houston Rockets 214 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Dallas Mavericks 120, Oklahoma City Thunder 96. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.60, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.53.
- Oct 26: Miami Heat 109, Dallas Mavericks 113. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 1.36, Dallas Mavericks 3.25.
- Oct 24: Dallas Mavericks 106, San Antonio Spurs 122. Lost. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 7.00, San Antonio Spurs 1.11.
- Oct 23: Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.38, Dallas Mavericks 3.15.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
- Oct 28: Milwaukee Bucks 100, Houston Rockets 132. Won. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 3.75, Houston Rockets 1.29.
- Oct 26: Houston Rockets 120, Atlanta Hawks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.52, Atlanta Hawks 2.62.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Houston Rockets coming into this game.
- 1-4 at home for Dallas Mavericks this season.
- Over/under moved down from 227.5 to 223.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.8 — Dallas Mavericks +2.9 per 100 possessions, Houston Rockets +11.7.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Houston Rockets.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DAL moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.65 |
| HOU moneyline | 1.51 | moved down 1.50 |
| Total points | 227.5 | moved down 223.5 |
| DAL spread | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dallas Mavericks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.