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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets prediction

NBA Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start20:00ET
Dallas MavericksHome · 4-2 · 12th · Moneyline odds up 2.65
1161st quarter 272nd quarter 173rd quarter 324th quarter 40
Houston RocketsAway · 6-1 · 5th · Moneyline odds down 1.50
1111st quarter 202nd quarter 313rd quarter 334th quarter 27
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas Mavericks 27 17 32 40
Houston Rockets 20 31 33 27
FT American Airlines Center · USAAmerican Airlines Center
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
HOU +5.5 1.22 85% confidence
Houston Rockets +5.5 on the spread edge +4.8%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won HOU +5.5 1.22 Houston Rockets +5.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 78.5% · market 73.7% edge +4.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 1.50 66.9% 62.3% +4.6% 84% Lost
Total points O214.5 odds up 1.37 75.4% 73.3% +2.1% 85% Won
Point spread HOU +5.5 1.22 78.5% 73.7% +4.8% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Dallas Mavericks116111
Houston Rockets111118
Total 229 actual 227
Winning margin HOU by 7 actual DAL by 5
Chance to win HOU 67% DAL won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Dallas Mavericks116111
Houston Rockets111118

Total 229 Margin HOU by 7 Win HOU 67% Actual 227 · DAL won

Dallas Mavericks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.