CSM Targu Mures vs BC Steaua Bucuresti Prediction & Odds

Divizia A Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu, Oct 22 Start12:00ET Round 4

CSM Targu MuresHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.08

9221253016

BC Steaua BucurestiAway · 2-3 · 5th · 5.20

8929231918

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

CSM Targu Mures 21 25 30 16

BC Steaua Bucuresti 29 23 19 18

FT Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure · RomaniaSala Sporturilor Târgu Mure · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

BSB +12.5 1.77 51%

BC Steaua Bucuresti +12.5 on the spread edge −11.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won BSB +12.5 1.77 BC Steaua Bucuresti +12.5 on the spread Confidence51% model 44.0% · market 55.1% edge −11.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.08 79.5% 76.4% +3.1% 85% Won

Total points U180.5 1.45 64.1% 63.9% +0.2% 77% Lost

Point spread BSB +12.5 1.77 44.0% 55.1% −11.1% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CSM Targu Mures9292

BC Steaua Bucuresti8981

Total 173 actual 181

Winning margin CTM by 11 actual CTM by 3

Chance to win CTM 79% CTM won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CSM Targu Mures9292

BC Steaua Bucuresti8981

Total 173 Margin CTM by 11 Win CTM 79% Actual 181 · CTM won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

CSM Targu Mures large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction BC Steaua Bucuresti

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

CSM Targu Mures vs BC Steaua Bucuresti

CSM Targu Mures BC Steaua Bucuresti

Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

CSM Targu Mures 4-1

Oct 17: Valcea 83, CSM Targu Mures 91. Won. Odds: Valcea 1.27, CSM Targu Mures 2.70.
Oct 10: CSM Targu Mures 85, Voluntari 91. Lost. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.83, Voluntari 1.83.
Oct 4: SCM Timisoara 72, CSM Targu Mures 78. Won. Odds: SCM Timisoara 1.57, CSM Targu Mures 2.20.
Sep 30: CSM Targu Mures 109, Municipal Galati 83. Won. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.09, Municipal Galati 5.75.
Sep 26: Municipal Galati 73, CSM Targu Mures 93. Won. Odds: Municipal Galati 4.45, CSM Targu Mures 1.16.

BC Steaua Bucuresti 1-4

Oct 17: BC Steaua Bucuresti 68, Petrolul Ploiesti 76. Lost. Odds: BC Steaua Bucuresti 1.42, Petrolul Ploiesti 2.20.
Oct 12: BC Steaua Bucuresti 98, Rapid Bucuresti 88. Won. Odds: BC Steaua Bucuresti 2.72, Rapid Bucuresti 1.38.
Oct 6: Valcea 97, BC Steaua Bucuresti 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valcea 1.08, BC Steaua Bucuresti 6.20.
Sep 30: BC Steaua Bucuresti 75, Corona Brasov 98. Lost. Odds: BC Steaua Bucuresti 1.65, Corona Brasov 2.05.
Sep 26: Corona Brasov 76, BC Steaua Bucuresti 73. Lost. Odds: Corona Brasov 1.55, BC Steaua Bucuresti 2.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
CTM moneyline	1.13	moved down 1.08
BSB moneyline	3.65	moved up 5.20
Total points	174.5	174.5
CTM spread	−11.5	−11.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Divizia A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Voluntari	5	5	0	10	455	405	+50
2	CSM Targu Mures	5	4	1	9	456	416	+40
3	Valcea	5	4	1	9	451	395	+56
4	CSM Oradea	5	3	2	8	443	422	+21
5	BC Steaua Bucuresti	5	2	3	7	439	442	−3
6	Arges Pitesti	5	2	3	7	438	445	−7
7	Rapid Bucuresti	5	2	3	7	457	463	−6
8	Corona Brasov	5	1	4	6	426	447	−21
9	CSU Sibiu	4	2	2	6	386	397	−11
10	Petrolul Ploiesti	5	1	4	6	380	462	−82
11	SCM Timisoara	4	2	2	6	353	358	−5
12	Dinamo Bucharest	3	2	1	5	266	235	+31
13	SCM Craiova	3	2	1	5	305	292	+13
14	Municipal Galati	5	0	5	5	436	512	−76

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

CSM Targu Mures host BC Steaua Bucuresti in the Divizia A on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.