CSM Oradea vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & Odds

Basketball Champions League Wednesday, September 16, 2026Wed, Sep 16 Start14:00ET Quarter-finals

CSM OradeaHome · 1.08

9531133219

AEK LarnacaAway · 6.50

8718192426

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

CSM Oradea 31 13 32 19

AEK Larnaca 18 19 24 26

FT Arena SamElyonArena SamElyon · Quarter-finals

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

LAR +14.5 1.80 50%

AEK Larnaca +14.5 on the spread edge +11.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LAR +14.5 1.80 AEK Larnaca +14.5 on the spread Confidence50% model 61.8% · market 50.0% edge +11.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.08 70.9% 81.4% −10.5% 50% Won

Total points O162.5 1.82 50.1% 50.7% −0.6% 50% Won

Point spread LAR +14.5 1.80 61.8% 50.0% +11.8% 50% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CSM Oradea9584

AEK Larnaca8779

Total 163 actual 182

Winning margin ORA by 5 actual ORA by 8

Chance to win ORA 63% ORA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CSM Oradea9584

AEK Larnaca8779

Total 163 Margin ORA by 5 Win ORA 63% Actual 182 · ORA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

CSM Oradea large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction AEK Larnaca

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

CSM Oradea vs AEK Larnaca

CSM Oradea AEK Larnaca

Last 12 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Last five games

CSM Oradea 2-3

Jun 3: Cluj-Napoca 74, CSM Oradea 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 1: Cluj-Napoca 103, CSM Oradea 78. Lost. No odds on record.
May 28: CSM Oradea 83, Cluj-Napoca 88. Lost. No odds on record.
May 26: CSM Oradea 87, Cluj-Napoca 84. Won. No odds on record.
May 19: Dinamo Bucharest 62, CSM Oradea 79. Won. No odds on record.

AEK Larnaca 3-2

May 25: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 64. Won. No odds on record.
May 21: Keravnos 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. No odds on record.
May 17: AEK Larnaca 76, Keravnos 75. Won. No odds on record.
May 13: Keravnos 81, AEK Larnaca 86. Won. No odds on record.
May 9: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 75. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ORA moneyline	1.11	moved down 1.08
LAR moneyline	5.25	moved up 6.50
Total points	162.5	162.5
ORA spread · regulation	−13.5	moved down −14.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

CSM Oradea host AEK Larnaca in the Basketball Champions League on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.