Cruzeiro vs Pato prediction
Cruzeiro
17
21
19
19
Pato
17
18
10
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cruzeiro7683Pato6876Cruzeiro7683Pato6876Total 159 Margin CRU by 7 Win CRU 68% Actual 144 · CRU won
Cruzeiro
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pato
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cruzeiro vs Pato
Cruzeiro
Pato
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Cruzeiro at home, last 23 games · Pato away, last 20
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cruzeiro 2, Pato 0.
- Average total 155.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CRU by 8 Jan 19, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 19, 2026 NBB Cruzeiro 89–81 Pato 170 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 NBB Pato 69–71 Cruzeiro 140 pts
Last five games
Cruzeiro
1-4 - Oct 27: Cruzeiro 80, Brasilia 89. Lost. Odds: Cruzeiro 3.00, Brasilia 1.36.
- Oct 19: Uniao Corinthians 83, Cruzeiro 74. Lost. Odds: Uniao Corinthians 1.74, Cruzeiro 1.95.
- Oct 17: Caxias do Sul 61, Cruzeiro 72. Won. Odds: Caxias do Sul 2.07, Cruzeiro 1.47.
- Apr 29: Minas 103, Cruzeiro 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Cruzeiro 74, Minas 101. Lost. No odds on record.
Pato
1-4 - Oct 27: Minas 86, Pato 65. Lost. Odds: Minas 1.02, Pato 8.44.
- Oct 24: Pato 89, Botafogo 88. Won. Odds: Pato 1.95, Botafogo 1.74.
- Oct 21: Pato 74, Paulistano 80. Lost. Odds: Pato 3.20, Paulistano 1.18.
- Apr 18: Paulistano 92, Pato 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Pinheiros 88, Pato 55. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 159.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.7 — Cruzeiro −3.3 per 100 possessions, Pato −13.0.
- 1-4 in the last five for Cruzeiro.
- 1-4 in the last five for Pato.
- 9th vs 14th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CRU moneyline | 1.15 | moved up 1.17 |
| PAT moneyline | 4.25 | moved up 4.50 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved down 157.5 |
| CRU spread | −10.5 | moved up −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 | Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cruzeiro host Pato in the NBB on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.