Cruzeiro vs Brasilia prediction
Cruzeiro
21
28
10
21
Brasilia
16
16
30
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cruzeiro8079Brasilia8985Cruzeiro8079Brasilia8985Total 164 Margin BRA by 6 Win BRA 67% Actual 169 · BRA won
Cruzeiro
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brasilia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cruzeiro vs Brasilia
Cruzeiro
Brasilia
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Cruzeiro at home, last 23 games · Brasilia away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cruzeiro 0, Brasilia 2.
- Average total 162.0 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRA by 6 Feb 19, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 19, 2026 NBB Cruzeiro 87–93 Brasilia 180 pts
- Nov 14, 2025 NBB Brasilia 79–65 Cruzeiro 144 pts
Last five games
Cruzeiro
2-3 - Oct 19: Uniao Corinthians 83, Cruzeiro 74. Lost. Odds: Uniao Corinthians 1.74, Cruzeiro 1.95.
- Oct 17: Caxias do Sul 61, Cruzeiro 72. Won. Odds: Caxias do Sul 2.07, Cruzeiro 1.47.
- Apr 29: Minas 103, Cruzeiro 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Cruzeiro 74, Minas 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Cruzeiro 97, Minas 81. Won. No odds on record.
Brasilia
3-2 - Oct 24: Brasilia 91, Paulistano 73. Won. Odds: Brasilia 1.36, Paulistano 3.00.
- Oct 22: Brasilia 104, Corinthians Paulista 92. Won. Odds: Brasilia 1.38, Corinthians Paulista 2.80.
- May 28: Franca 68, Brasilia 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Franca 69, Brasilia 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Brasilia 74, Franca 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Cruzeiro, 2 for Brasilia.
- Over/under moved up from 157.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.4 — Cruzeiro −3.3 per 100 possessions, Brasilia +3.1.
- 9th vs 2nd in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CRU moneyline | 2.70 | moved up 3.00 |
| BRA moneyline | 1.40 | moved down 1.36 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| CRU spread | +5.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 | Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cruzeiro host Brasilia in the NBB on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.