Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin CON by 5 Win CON 66% Actual 176 · CON won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Connecticut Sun at home, last 22 games · Toronto Tempo away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Connecticut Sun 1, Toronto Tempo 2.
- Average total 189.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TOR by 4 Jun 19, 2026
Meetings
- Jun 19, 2026 WNBA Connecticut Sun 97–101 Toronto Tempo 198 pts
- Jun 10, 2026 WNBA Toronto Tempo 106–102 OT Connecticut Sun 208 pts · OT
- Apr 29, 2026 WNBA Toronto Tempo 78–83 Connecticut Sun 161 pts
Last five games
- Sep 22: Washington Mystics 79, Connecticut Sun 69. Lost. Odds: Washington Mystics 1.03, Connecticut Sun 11.00.
- Sep 20: Connecticut Sun 89, Minnesota Lynx 101. Lost. Odds: Connecticut Sun 7.98, Minnesota Lynx 1.06.
- Sep 17: Atlanta Dream 103, Connecticut Sun 59. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.08, Connecticut Sun 7.21.
- Aug 30: Dallas Wings 97, Connecticut Sun 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 22: Chicago Sky 97, Toronto Tempo 85. Lost. Odds: Chicago Sky 1.42, Toronto Tempo 2.80.
- Sep 20: Toronto Tempo 69, New York Liberty 106. Lost. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.06, New York Liberty 1.11.
- Sep 18: Toronto Tempo 85, Indiana Fever 103. Lost. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.44, Indiana Fever 1.10.
- Aug 29: Phoenix Mercury 101, Toronto Tempo 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Las Vegas Aces 93, Toronto Tempo 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Toronto Tempo coming into this game.
- 6-game losing streak for Connecticut Sun coming into this game.
- 4-19 away for Toronto Tempo this season.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Toronto Tempo.
- 189.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CON moneyline | 1.60 | moved up 1.65 |
| TOR moneyline | 2.30 | moved down 2.20 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| CON spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 | |
| 2 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 | |
| 3 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 | |
| 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 | |
| 5 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 | |
| 6 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 | |
| 7 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Connecticut Sun host Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.