Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Odds — Sep 20

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WNBA Sunday, September 20, 2026Sun, Sep 20 Start13:00ET

Connecticut SunHome · 11-33 · 13th · 7.98

8912312422

Minnesota LynxAway · 33-11 · 1st · 1.06

10127282125

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Connecticut Sun 12 31 24 22

Minnesota Lynx 27 28 21 25

FT Mohegan Sun Arena · USAMohegan Sun Arena

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

O163.5 1.64 58%

Over 163.5 points edge −1.7%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won O163.5 1.64 Over 163.5 points Confidence58% model 58.1% · market 59.8% edge −1.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 7.98 65.7% 9.4% +56.3% 52% Lost

Total points O163.5 1.64 58.1% 59.8% −1.7% 58% Won

Point spread CON +16.5 1.91 88.0% 48.8% +39.2% 56% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Connecticut Sun8990

Minnesota Lynx10178

Total 168 actual 190

Winning margin CON by 12 actual MIN by 12

Chance to win CON 80% MIN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Connecticut Sun8990

Minnesota Lynx10178

Total 168 Margin CON by 12 Win CON 80% Actual 190 · MIN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 15+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Connecticut Sun large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Minnesota Lynx

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Connecticut Sun Minnesota Lynx

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Connecticut Sun 1-4

Sep 17: Atlanta Dream 103, Connecticut Sun 59. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.08, Connecticut Sun 7.21.
Aug 30: Dallas Wings 97, Connecticut Sun 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 26: Connecticut Sun 64, Golden State Valkyries 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 25: Connecticut Sun 87, Chicago Sky 81. Won. No odds on record.

Minnesota Lynx 2-3

Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 24: Minnesota Lynx 66, Golden State Valkyries 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 21: Washington Mystics 84, Minnesota Lynx 94. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 19: Golden State Valkyries 66, Minnesota Lynx 77. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
CON moneyline	7.60	moved up 7.98
MIN moneyline	1.08	moved down 1.06
Total points	167.5	moved down 166.5
CON spread	+16.5	moved up +18.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Atlanta Dream	44	30	14	.682	4019	3717	+302
5	Washington Mystics	44	28	16	.636	3696	3640	+56
6	Indiana Fever	44	28	16	.636	4222	3979	+243
7	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
8	New York Liberty	44	26	18	.591	3941	3802	+139
9	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
10	Chicago Sky	44	16	28	.364	3818	3989	−171
11	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
12	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
13	Connecticut Sun	44	11	33	.250	3470	3875	−405
14	Toronto Tempo	44	11	33	.250	3770	4152	−382
15	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Playoffs

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Connecticut Sun host Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.