Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 218 Margin BOS by 4 Win BOS 59% Actual 237 · BOS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cleveland Cavaliers 0, Boston Celtics 4.
- Average total 228.5 points per meeting
- Over 221.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BOS by 11 Mar 8, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 8, 2026 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 98–109 Boston Celtics 207 pts
- Nov 30, 2025 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 115–117 Boston Celtics 232 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 NBA Boston Celtics 125–105 Cleveland Cavaliers 230 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 NBA Boston Celtics 138–107 Cleveland Cavaliers 245 pts
Last five games
- May 25: Cleveland Cavaliers 93, New York Knicks 130. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Cleveland Cavaliers 108, New York Knicks 121. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: New York Knicks 109, Cleveland Cavaliers 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 19: New York Knicks 115, Cleveland Cavaliers 104. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Detroit Pistons 94, Cleveland Cavaliers 125. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Boston Celtics 100, Philadelphia 76ers 109. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Philadelphia 76ers 106, Boston Celtics 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Boston Celtics 97, Philadelphia 76ers 113. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Philadelphia 76ers 96, Boston Celtics 128. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Philadelphia 76ers 100, Boston Celtics 108. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Cleveland Cavaliers coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Boston Celtics coming into this game.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Boston Celtics.
- 4-1 at home for Cleveland Cavaliers this season.
- 228.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 221.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CLE moneyline | 1.87 | moved down 1.86 |
| BOS moneyline | 1.91 | moved down 1.84 |
| Total points | 220.5 | moved up 221.5 |
| CLE spread | −1.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cleveland Cavaliers host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.