Cholet vs Pau-Orthez prediction
Cholet
22
22
22
19
Pau-Orthez
17
16
25
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cholet8584Pau-Orthez7982Cholet8584Pau-Orthez7982Total 166 Margin CHO by 2 Win CHO 57% Actual 164 · CHO won
Cholet
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pau-Orthez
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cholet vs Pau-Orthez
Cholet
Pau-Orthez
Last 9 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Cholet
2-3 - Oct 6: Hapoel Holon 79, Cholet 99. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 2.85, Cholet 1.40.
- Oct 3: Nancy 76, Cholet 85. Won. Odds: Nancy 1.76, Cholet 2.03.
- Sep 27: Cholet 85, Lyon-Villeurbanne 97. Lost. Odds: Cholet 2.18, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.65.
- Jun 9: Cholet 91, Paris 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Cholet 86, Paris 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Pau-Orthez
3-2 - Oct 6: Tarbes 69, Pau-Orthez 109. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Pau-Orthez 61, Dijon 89. Lost. Odds: Pau-Orthez 2.82, Dijon 1.41.
- Sep 26: Nanterre 78, Pau-Orthez 64. Lost. Odds: Nanterre 1.13, Pau-Orthez 5.30.
- Jun 18: Pau-Orthez 86, Poitiers 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 15: Poitiers 72, Pau-Orthez 81. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.8 — Cholet 0.0 per 100 possessions, Pau-Orthez −7.8.
- 9th vs 11th in the LNB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHO moneyline | 1.15 | moved up 1.18 |
| PAU moneyline | 4.80 | moved down 4.55 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| CHO spread | −10.5 | −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 465 | 408 | +57 |
| 2 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 438 | 395 | +43 |
| 3 |  Dijon |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 555 | 501 | +54 |
| 4 |  Le Mans |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 596 | 546 | +50 |
| 5 |  Chalon/Saone |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 459 | 387 | +72 |
| 6 |  Nanterre |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 514 | 477 | +37 |
| 7 |  Strasbourg |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 580 | 606 | −26 |
| 8 |  Roanne |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 | Cholet |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 483 | 512 | −29 |
| 10 |  Boulazac |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 484 | 517 | −33 |
| 11 | Pau-Orthez |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 488 | 528 | −40 |
| 12 |  Nancy |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 478 | 508 | −30 |
| 13 |  JL Bourg |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 543 | 540 | +3 |
| 14 |  Limoges |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 526 | 546 | −20 |
| 15 |  Saint Quentin |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 532 | 584 | −52 |
| 16 |  Gravelines-Dunkerque |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 468 | 544 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Playoffs
- Relegation - Elite 2
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cholet host Pau-Orthez in the LNB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.