Cholet vs Lyon-Villeurbanne prediction
Cholet
24
21
23
17
Lyon-Villeurbanne
27
31
21
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cholet8584Lyon-Villeurbanne9779Cholet8584Lyon-Villeurbanne9779Total 163 Margin CHO by 5 Win CHO 66% Actual 182 · LYO won
Cholet
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lyon-Villeurbanne
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Cholet vs Lyon-Villeurbanne
Cholet
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Last 9 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Cholet at home, last 5 games · Lyon-Villeurbanne away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cholet 4, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.
- Average total 157.8 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CHO by 5 May 30, 2026
Meetings
- May 30, 2026 LNB Lyon-Villeurbanne 75–80 OT Cholet 155 pts · OT
- May 28, 2026 LNB Cholet 77–65 Lyon-Villeurbanne 142 pts
- May 26, 2026 LNB Lyon-Villeurbanne 75–67 Cholet 142 pts
- Mar 28, 2026 LNB Cholet 93–85 Lyon-Villeurbanne 178 pts
- Dec 14, 2025 LNB Lyon-Villeurbanne 85–87 Cholet 172 pts
Last five games
Cholet
2-3 - Jun 9: Cholet 91, Paris 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Cholet 86, Paris 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Paris 100, Cholet 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 2: Paris 89, Cholet 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: Lyon-Villeurbanne 75, Cholet 80. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Lyon-Villeurbanne
2-3 - Sep 24: Lyon-Villeurbanne 84, Maccabi Tel Aviv 74. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.36, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.59.
- Sep 19: Roanne 73, Lyon-Villeurbanne 71. Lost. Odds: Roanne 3.75, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.23.
- May 30: Lyon-Villeurbanne 75, Cholet 80. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 28: Cholet 77, Lyon-Villeurbanne 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Lyon-Villeurbanne 75, Cholet 67. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Cholet coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 169.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Cholet.
- 157.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
- 9th vs 2nd in the LNB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHO moneyline | 2.09 | moved up 2.18 |
| LYO moneyline | 1.72 | moved down 1.65 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| CHO spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 465 | 408 | +57 |
| 2 | Lyon-Villeurbanne |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 438 | 395 | +43 |
| 3 |  Dijon |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 555 | 501 | +54 |
| 4 |  Le Mans |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 596 | 546 | +50 |
| 5 |  Chalon/Saone |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 459 | 387 | +72 |
| 6 |  Nanterre |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 514 | 477 | +37 |
| 7 |  Strasbourg |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 580 | 606 | −26 |
| 8 |  Roanne |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 | Cholet |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 483 | 512 | −29 |
| 10 |  Boulazac |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 484 | 517 | −33 |
| 11 |  Pau-Orthez |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 488 | 528 | −40 |
| 12 |  Nancy |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 478 | 508 | −30 |
| 13 |  JL Bourg |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 543 | 540 | +3 |
| 14 |  Limoges |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 526 | 546 | −20 |
| 15 |  Saint Quentin |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 532 | 584 | −52 |
| 16 |  Gravelines-Dunkerque |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 468 | 544 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Playoffs
- Relegation - Elite 2
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cholet host Lyon-Villeurbanne in the LNB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.