Chinese Taipei vs Japan prediction
Chinese Taipei
9
23
17
29
Japan
16
28
24
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Chinese Taipei7881Japan8580Chinese Taipei7881Japan8580Total 161 Margin CHI by 1 Win CHI 54% Actual 163 · JAP won
Chinese Taipei vs Japan
Chinese Taipei
Japan
Last five games
Chinese Taipei
2-1 - Sep 13: Chinese Taipei 91, Qatar 69. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Chinese Taipei 69, Iran 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: Jordan 80, Chinese Taipei 83. Won. No odds on record.
Japan
4-1 - Sep 13: Japan 83, South Korea 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Saudi Arabia 80, Japan 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: Japan 98, Indonesia 53. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 16: Japan 95, South Korea 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 15: Japan 88, South Korea 68. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Japan dropped from 1.52 to 1.29 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 161.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Japan.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHI moneyline | 2.34 | moved up 3.25 |
| JAP moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.29 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| CHI spread | +4.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Asian Games standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chinese Taipei |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 221 | +22 |
| 2 |  Iran |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 206 | 196 | +10 |
| 3 |  Jordan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 224 | 229 | −5 |
| 4 |  Qatar |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 193 | 220 | −27 |
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Korea |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 284 | 197 | +87 |
| 2 | Japan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 267 | 233 | +34 |
| 3 |  Saudi Arabia |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 246 | 257 | −11 |
| 4 |  Indonesia |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 190 | 300 | −110 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Chinese Taipei host Japan in the Asian Games on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.