Chiba vs Alvark prediction
Chiba
18
21
14
18
Alvark
22
25
27
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Chiba7196Alvark9692Chiba7196Alvark9692Total 188 Margin CHI by 4 Win CHI 61% Actual 167 · ALV won
Chiba
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Alvark
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Chiba vs Alvark
Chiba
Alvark
Last 13 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Chiba at home, last 7 games · Alvark away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Chiba 2, Alvark 3.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 7 Oct 2, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 2, 2026 B League Chiba 131–138 OT Alvark 269 pts · OT
- Feb 8, 2026 B League Chiba 72–64 Alvark 136 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 B League Chiba 73–75 Alvark 148 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 B League Alvark 69–81 Chiba 150 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 B League Alvark 78–69 Chiba 147 pts
Last five games
Chiba
1-4 - Oct 2: Chiba 131, Alvark 138. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Chiba 2.82, Alvark 1.40.
- Sep 26: Tokyo Sunrockers 95, Chiba 79. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 2.18, Chiba 1.64.
- Sep 25: Tokyo Sunrockers 92, Chiba 97. Won. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 2.55, Chiba 1.45.
- May 16: Nagasaki 102, Chiba 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 15: Nagasaki 82, Chiba 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Alvark
2-3 - Oct 2: Chiba 131, Alvark 138. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chiba 2.82, Alvark 1.40.
- Sep 23: Alvark 74, Ryukyu 85. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.43, Ryukyu 2.68.
- Sep 22: Alvark 84, Ryukyu 73. Won. Odds: Alvark 1.45, Ryukyu 2.63.
- May 8: Nagasaki 96, Alvark 56. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Nagasaki 93, Alvark 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alvark dropped from 1.95 to 1.69 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Chiba this season.
- 6-0 away for Alvark this season.
- Over/under moved down from 185.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.4 — Chiba −7.6 per 100 possessions, Alvark +19.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHI moneyline | 1.76 | moved up 2.09 |
| ALV moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.69 |
| Total points | 185.5 | moved down 175.5 |
| CHI spread | −1.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sendai |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Toyama |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Utsunomiya Brex |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Levanga Hokkaido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Alvark |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Brave Thunders |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Akita |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Yokohama |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chiba |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Gunma |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Altiri Chiba |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Chiba host Alvark in the B League on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.