Chiba vs Alvark prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin CHI by 2 Win CHI 54% Actual 269 · ALV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Chiba vs Alvark
Last 13 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Chiba at home, last 7 games · Alvark away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Chiba 2, Alvark 3.
- Average total 149.6 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 25 Oct 4, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 4, 2026 B League Chiba 71–96 Alvark 167 pts
- Feb 8, 2026 B League Chiba 72–64 Alvark 136 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 B League Chiba 73–75 Alvark 148 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 B League Alvark 69–81 Chiba 150 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 B League Alvark 78–69 Chiba 147 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Tokyo Sunrockers 95, Chiba 79. Lost. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 2.18, Chiba 1.64.
- Sep 25: Tokyo Sunrockers 92, Chiba 97. Won. Odds: Tokyo Sunrockers 2.55, Chiba 1.45.
- May 16: Nagasaki 102, Chiba 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 15: Nagasaki 82, Chiba 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 11: Chiba 72, Gunma 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: Alvark 74, Ryukyu 85. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.43, Ryukyu 2.68.
- Sep 22: Alvark 84, Ryukyu 73. Won. Odds: Alvark 1.45, Ryukyu 2.63.
- May 8: Nagasaki 96, Alvark 56. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Nagasaki 93, Alvark 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Hokkaido 97, Alvark 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alvark dropped from 2.42 to 1.40 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Chiba this season.
- 6-0 away for Alvark this season.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.4 — Chiba −7.6 per 100 possessions, Alvark +19.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHI moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 2.82 |
| ALV moneyline | 2.42 | moved down 1.40 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| CHI spread | −4.5 | moved up +4 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | Levanga Hokkaido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Chiba host Alvark in the B League on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.