Chemnitz vs Neptunas prediction
Chemnitz
31
26
18
18
Neptunas
15
24
27
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Chemnitz9378Neptunas8486Chemnitz9378Neptunas8486Total 164 Margin NEP by 8 Win NEP 68% Actual 177 · CHE won
Chemnitz
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Neptunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Chemnitz vs Neptunas
Chemnitz
Neptunas
Last 13 games each with full stats · all competitions
Chemnitz at home, last 5 games · Neptunas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Chemnitz
1-4 - Oct 4: Jena 82, Chemnitz 76. Lost. Odds: Jena 2.14, Chemnitz 1.68.
- Sep 29: Tofas 82, Chemnitz 69. Lost. Odds: Tofas 1.21, Chemnitz 4.17.
- Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
- Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.
- Sep 18: Alba Berlin 89, Chemnitz 82. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.30, Chemnitz 3.32.
Neptunas
2-3 - Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Sep 23: Neptunas 99, Juventus 84. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.57, Juventus 2.20.
- Sep 20: Neptunas 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 93. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 6.60, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.07.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Neptunas dropped from 2.75 to 2.20 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 173.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.7 — Chemnitz +7.1 per 100 possessions, Neptunas −3.6.
- 1-4 in the last five for Chemnitz.
- 2nd vs 7th in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHE moneyline | 1.40 | moved up 1.62 |
| NEP moneyline | 2.75 | moved down 2.20 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| CHE spread | −5.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Basket Napoli |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 |
| 2 | Chemnitz |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 |
| 3 |  Tofas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 |
| 4 |  Buducnost |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 |
| 5 |  Trento |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 |
| 6 |  JL Bourg |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 |
| 7 | Neptunas |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 |
| 8 |  Slask Wroclaw |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Chemnitz host Neptunas in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.