Chemnitz vs Bayern Prediction & Odds

BBL Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start10:00ET Round 5

ChemnitzHome · 2-5 · 16th · 10.50

8325251221

BayernAway · 5-1 · 1st · 1.03

8721242220

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Chemnitz 25 25 12 21

Bayern 21 24 22 20

FT Messe Chemnitz · GermanyMesse Chemnitz · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

CHE +23.5 1.26 72%

Chemnitz +23.5 on the spread edge −0.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won CHE +23.5 1.26 Chemnitz +23.5 on the spread Confidence72% model 71.8% · market 72.1% edge −0.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.07 78.7% 89.6% −10.9% 78% Won

Total points O160.5 1.36 77.9% 71.4% +6.5% 78% Won

Point spread CHE +23.5 1.26 71.8% 72.1% −0.3% 72% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Chemnitz8381

Bayern8794

Total 175 actual 170

Winning margin BAY by 13 actual BAY by 4

Chance to win BAY 79% BAY won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Chemnitz8381

Bayern8794

Total 175 Margin BAY by 13 Win BAY 79% Actual 170 · BAY won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Chemnitz large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Bayern

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Chemnitz vs Bayern

Chemnitz Bayern

Last 13 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Chemnitz 2-3

Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
Oct 4: Jena 82, Chemnitz 76. Lost. Odds: Jena 2.14, Chemnitz 1.68.
Sep 29: Tofas 82, Chemnitz 69. Lost. Odds: Tofas 1.21, Chemnitz 4.17.
Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.

Bayern 2-3

Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
Oct 4: Bayern 113, Oldenburg 60. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.10, Oldenburg 6.45.
Oct 2: Bayern 84, Partizan Mozzart Bet 86. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.53, Partizan Mozzart Bet 2.54.
Sep 29: Fenerbahce 100, Bayern 76. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.28, Bayern 3.58.
Sep 26: Bayern 95, Alba Berlin 61. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.14, Alba Berlin 5.38.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
CHE moneyline	6.60	moved up 10.50
BAY moneyline	1.08	moved down 1.03
Total points	170.5	moved down 169.5
CHE spread	+13.5	moved up +15.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Chemnitz host Bayern in the BBL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.