Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 228 Margin CHA by 8 Win CHA 68% Actual 209 · ATL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Charlotte Hornets at home, last 4 games · Atlanta Hawks away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Charlotte Hornets 3, Atlanta Hawks 1.
- Average total 236.0 points per meeting
- Over 227.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CHA by 3 Feb 11, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 11, 2026 NBA Charlotte Hornets 110–107 Atlanta Hawks 217 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 NBA Atlanta Hawks 119–126 Charlotte Hornets 245 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 NBA Charlotte Hornets 133–126 Atlanta Hawks 259 pts
- Nov 23, 2025 NBA Atlanta Hawks 113–110 Charlotte Hornets 223 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Brooklyn Nets 103, Charlotte Hornets 110. Won. Odds: Brooklyn Nets 1.83, Charlotte Hornets 1.83.
- Oct 16: Memphis Grizzlies 116, Charlotte Hornets 98. Lost. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 1.69, Charlotte Hornets 2.04.
- Oct 14: Boston Celtics 114, Charlotte Hornets 93. Lost. Odds: Boston Celtics 1.32, Charlotte Hornets 3.24.
- Oct 11: Charlotte Hornets 105, Milwaukee Bucks 90. Won. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 1.63, Milwaukee Bucks 2.13.
- Oct 6: Charlotte Hornets 90, Brooklyn Nets 124. Lost. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 1.70, Brooklyn Nets 2.15.
- Oct 21: Orlando Magic 125, Atlanta Hawks 132. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.75, Atlanta Hawks 2.14.
- Oct 16: Dallas Mavericks 111, Atlanta Hawks 135. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 1.81, Atlanta Hawks 1.89.
- Oct 12: Atlanta Hawks 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 110. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.45, Oklahoma City Thunder 2.61.
- Oct 10: Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.77, Atlanta Hawks 1.93.
- Oct 8: San Antonio Spurs 116, Atlanta Hawks 123. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.33, Atlanta Hawks 3.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Atlanta Hawks coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.0 — Charlotte Hornets −8.1 per 100 possessions, Atlanta Hawks −0.1.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Charlotte Hornets.
- +7.0 points at home — Charlotte Hornets averaged 100.8 at home and 93.8 away this season.
- 236.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 227.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CHA moneyline | 2.15 | 2.15 |
| ATL moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 1.74 |
| Total points | 226.5 | moved up 227.5 |
| CHA spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Charlotte Hornets host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.