Celta vs Zaragoza prediction
Celta
12
11
18
11
Zaragoza
13
23
25
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Celta5267Zaragoza8379Celta5267Zaragoza8379Total 146 Margin ZAR by 12 Win ZAR 77% Actual 135 · ZAR won
Celta vs Zaragoza
Celta
Zaragoza
Last five games
Celta
0-2 - Oct 8: IDK Gipuzkoa 75, Celta 65. Lost. Odds: IDK Gipuzkoa 1.25, Celta 3.26.
- Oct 3: Celta 80, Gernika Bizkaia 84. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Celta 1.90, Gernika Bizkaia 1.77.
Zaragoza
2-3 - Oct 7: Gernika Bizkaia 72, Zaragoza 108. Won. Odds: Gernika Bizkaia 3.90, Zaragoza 1.20.
- Oct 4: Zaragoza 68, Estepona 41. Won. Odds: Zaragoza 1.07, Estepona 6.14.
- Sep 26: Zaragoza 73, Valencia 84. Lost. Odds: Zaragoza 1.81, Valencia 1.94.
- May 17: Valencia 68, Zaragoza 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Zaragoza 73, Valencia 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 148.5 to 146.5 since it was first published.
- 16th vs 1st in the Liga Femenina Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CEL moneyline | 5.80 | moved down 5.70 |
| ZAR moneyline | 1.10 | moved down 1.09 |
| Total points | 148.5 | moved down 146.5 |
| CEL spread | +11.5 | moved up +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Femenina Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 513 | 351 | +162 |
| 2 |  Mallorca Palma |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 478 | 401 | +77 |
| 3 |  Jairis |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 441 | 375 | +66 |
| 4 |  Valencia |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 495 | 376 | +119 |
| 5 |  Ferrol |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 444 | 466 | −22 |
| 6 |  IDK Gipuzkoa |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 417 | 382 | +35 |
| 7 |  Estepona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 416 | 381 | +35 |
| 8 |  Cadi La Seu |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 394 | 391 | +3 |
| 9 |  Gernika Bizkaia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 496 | −27 |
| 10 |  Perfumerias Avenida |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 430 | 455 | −25 |
| 11 |  Leganes |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 368 | 420 | −52 |
| 12 |  Estudiantes |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 400 | 458 | −58 |
| 13 |  Uni Girona |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 385 | 418 | −33 |
| 14 |  Ensino |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 360 | 454 | −94 |
| 15 |  Araski |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 369 | 455 | −86 |
| 16 | Celta |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 386 | 486 | −100 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Celta host Zaragoza in the Liga Femenina Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.