Cedevita Olimpija vs Cibona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin CED by 16 Win CED 81% Actual 165 · CED won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cedevita Olimpija vs Cibona
Last 11 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Cedevita Olimpija at home, last 6 games · Cibona away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 30: San Pablo Burgos 85, Cedevita Olimpija 81. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.44, Cedevita Olimpija 2.72.
- Sep 17: Cedevita Olimpija 67, KK Krka Novo mesto 71. Lost. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 1.30, KK Krka Novo mesto 2.94.
- Jun 1: KK Krka Novo mesto 71, Cedevita Olimpija 87. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: Cedevita Olimpija 91, KK Krka Novo mesto 74. Won. No odds on record.
- May 27: KK Krka Novo mesto 89, Cedevita Olimpija 90. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 30: Cibona 100, Zabok 84. Won. Odds: Cibona 1.08, Zabok 6.60.
- Sep 27: Alkar 78, Cibona 84. Won. Odds: Alkar 5.60, Cibona 1.11.
- Jun 10: Zadar 75, Cibona 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Cibona 73, Zadar 67. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Cibona 70, Zadar 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Cibona coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Cibona dropped from 4.11 to 2.68 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 167.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.8 — Cedevita Olimpija −4.2 per 100 possessions, Cibona +5.6.
- 3rd vs 9th in the ABA League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CED moneyline | 1.22 | moved up 1.45 |
| CIB moneyline | 4.11 | moved down 2.68 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| CED spread | −7.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ABA League standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 450 | 396 | +54 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 468 | 421 | +47 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 409 | +19 | |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 413 | 416 | −3 |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 414 | −6 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 437 | 456 | −19 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 430 | 426 | +4 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 409 | 426 | −17 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 420 | 447 | −27 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 366 | 418 | −52 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cedevita Olimpija host Cibona in the ABA League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.