Cearense vs Pinheiros prediction
Cearense
15
17
18
13
Pinheiros
24
22
26
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cearense6376Pinheiros9888Cearense6376Pinheiros9888Total 164 Margin PIN by 12 Win PIN 84% Actual 161 · PIN won
Cearense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pinheiros
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Cearense vs Pinheiros
Cearense
Pinheiros
Last 28 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions
Cearense at home, last 20 games · Pinheiros away, last 27
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cearense 0, Pinheiros 2.
- Average total 164.5 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PIN by 6 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 NBB Pinheiros 83–77 Cearense 160 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 NBB Cearense 61–108 Pinheiros 169 pts
Last five games
Cearense
1-4 - Oct 20: Cearense 69, Osasco 93. Lost. Odds: Cearense 1.65, Osasco 2.12.
- Apr 16: Cruzeiro 86, Cearense 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 14: Minas 87, Cearense 56. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 6: Cearense 83, Caxias do Sul 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 4: Cearense 94, Uniao Corinthians 93. Won. No odds on record.
Pinheiros
1-4 - Oct 19: Unifacisa 81, Pinheiros 65. Lost. Odds: Unifacisa 1.61, Pinheiros 2.20.
- Jun 7: Franca 85, Pinheiros 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Pinheiros 94, Franca 92. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 2: Pinheiros 75, Franca 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 31: Franca 82, Pinheiros 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Cearense coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 160.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 29.9 — Cearense −23.3 per 100 possessions, Pinheiros +6.6.
- 1-4 in the last five for Pinheiros.
- 17th vs 6th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CEA moneyline | 8.00 | moved down 7.75 |
| PIN moneyline | 1.06 | moved up 1.07 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved down 156.5 |
| CEA spread | +15.5 | moved down +13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 | Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 | Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cearense host Pinheiros in the NBB on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.