CD Povoa vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Odds — Oct 10

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LPB Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start10:00ET Round 2

CD PovoaHome · 2-2 · 8th · 1.38

7321181915

CAB MadeiraAway · 1-4 · 9th · 2.81

6920122017

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

CD Povoa 21 18 19 15

CAB Madeira 20 12 20 17

FT Clube Desportivo Póvoa · PortugalClube Desportivo Póvoa · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.42 56%

CD Povoa to win edge −17.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.42 CD Povoa to win Confidence56% model 56.1% · market 73.5% edge −17.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.42 56.1% 73.5% −17.4% 56% Won

Total points U167.5 1.42 76.5% 65.3% +11.2% 76% Won

Point spread MAD +15.5 1.28 77.6% 72.2% +5.4% 77% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CD Povoa7379

CAB Madeira6976

Total 155 actual 142

Winning margin POV by 3 actual POV by 4

Chance to win POV 56% POV won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

CD Povoa7379

CAB Madeira6976

Total 155 Margin POV by 3 Win POV 56% Actual 142 · POV won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

CD Povoa large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction CAB Madeira

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

CD Povoa vs CAB Madeira

CD Povoa CAB Madeira

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

CD Povoa 4-1

Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Won. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Won. No odds on record.
May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Won. No odds on record.
May 24: CAB Madeira 90, CD Povoa 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

CAB Madeira 2-3

Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Lost. No odds on record.
May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Lost. No odds on record.
May 24: CAB Madeira 90, CD Povoa 72. Won. No odds on record.
May 16: CAB Madeira 76, Illiabum 60. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
POV moneyline	1.26	moved up 1.38
MAD moneyline	3.50	moved down 2.81
Total points	160.5	160.5
POV spread	−7.5	−7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

CD Povoa host CAB Madeira in the LPB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.