CD Povoa vs Braga prediction
CD Povoa
22
14
14
21
Braga
20
23
19
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
CD Povoa7183Braga8075CD Povoa7183Braga8075Total 158 Margin POV by 8 Win POV 70% Actual 151 · BRA won
CD Povoa
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Braga
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
CD Povoa vs Braga
CD Povoa
Braga
Last 30 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
CD Povoa at home, last 20 games · Braga away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
CD Povoa
4-1 - Oct 17: Ovarense 78, CD Povoa 69. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.32, CD Povoa 2.47.
- Oct 10: CD Povoa 73, CAB Madeira 69. Won. Odds: CD Povoa 1.38, CAB Madeira 2.81.
- Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Won. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
- May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Won. No odds on record.
Braga
2-3 - Oct 18: Braga 91, Vitoria 72. Won. Odds: Braga 1.28, Vitoria 2.95.
- Oct 11: Braga 105, Portimonense 71. Won. Odds: Braga 1.18, Portimonense 4.35.
- Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Lost. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
- May 13: Braga 79, Benfica 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Benfica 90, Braga 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Braga dropped from 2.71 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.7 — CD Povoa +9.0 per 100 possessions, Braga −0.7.
- 4-1 in the last five for CD Povoa.
- 8th vs 4th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POV moneyline | 1.36 | moved up 1.55 |
| BRA moneyline | 2.71 | moved down 2.10 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| POV spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 | Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 | CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 |  Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
CD Povoa host Braga in the LPB on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.