Caxias do Sul vs Minas prediction
Caxias do Sul
20
13
10
23
Minas
25
18
18
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Caxias do Sul6680Minas7883Caxias do Sul6680Minas7883Total 163 Margin MIN by 3 Win MIN 60% Actual 144 · MIN won
Caxias do Sul
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Minas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Caxias do Sul vs Minas
Caxias do Sul
Minas
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Caxias do Sul at home, last 20 games · Minas away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Caxias do Sul 0, Minas 2.
- Average total 158.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 6 Mar 19, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 19, 2026 NBB Minas 81–75 Caxias do Sul 156 pts
- Dec 3, 2025 NBB Caxias do Sul 72–88 Minas 160 pts
Last five games
Caxias do Sul
1-4 - Oct 17: Caxias do Sul 61, Cruzeiro 72. Lost. Odds: Caxias do Sul 2.07, Cruzeiro 1.47.
- Apr 30: Brasilia 71, Caxias do Sul 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 27: Caxias do Sul 66, Brasilia 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Caxias do Sul 70, Brasilia 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Brasilia 73, Caxias do Sul 64. Lost. No odds on record.
Minas
2-3 - May 12: Minas 81, Corinthians Paulista 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Corinthians Paulista 103, Minas 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Corinthians Paulista 91, Minas 97. Won. No odds on record.
- May 4: Minas 90, Corinthians Paulista 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Minas 103, Cruzeiro 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 18.2 — Caxias do Sul −7.9 per 100 possessions, Minas +10.3.
- 1-4 in the last five for Caxias do Sul.
- 16th vs 1st in the NBB standings.
- Different pace — Caxias do Sul averaged 69.1 possessions per game, Minas 81.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CDS moneyline | 3.70 | moved up 4.50 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.22 | moved down 1.17 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved down 157.5 |
| CDS spread | +8.5 | moved up +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 | Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Caxias do Sul host Minas in the NBB on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.