Caxias do Sul vs Cruzeiro prediction
Caxias do Sul
20
19
9
13
Cruzeiro
21
12
19
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Caxias do Sul6182Cruzeiro7276Caxias do Sul6182Cruzeiro7276Total 158 Margin CDS by 6 Win CDS 67% Actual 133 · CRU won
Caxias do Sul
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Cruzeiro
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Caxias do Sul vs Cruzeiro
Caxias do Sul
Cruzeiro
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Caxias do Sul at home, last 20 games · Cruzeiro away, last 20
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Caxias do Sul 2, Cruzeiro 0.
- Average total 151.0 points per meeting
- Over 151.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CDS by 9 Mar 17, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 17, 2026 NBB Cruzeiro 76–85 Caxias do Sul 161 pts
- Dec 1, 2025 NBB Caxias do Sul 78–63 Cruzeiro 141 pts
Last five games
Caxias do Sul
1-4 - Apr 30: Brasilia 71, Caxias do Sul 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 27: Caxias do Sul 66, Brasilia 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Caxias do Sul 70, Brasilia 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Brasilia 73, Caxias do Sul 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Caxias do Sul 79, Corinthians Paulista 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Cruzeiro
2-3 - Apr 29: Minas 103, Cruzeiro 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Cruzeiro 74, Minas 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Cruzeiro 97, Minas 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Minas 99, Cruzeiro 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Cruzeiro 86, Cearense 77. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Cruzeiro dropped from 1.95 to 1.47 since they were first published.
- 1-4 in the last five for Caxias do Sul.
- 16th vs 9th in the NBB standings.
- Different pace — Caxias do Sul averaged 69.1 possessions per game, Cruzeiro 77.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CDS moneyline | 1.74 | moved up 2.07 |
| CRU moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.47 |
| Total points | 152.5 | moved down 151.5 |
| CDS spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 | Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Caxias do Sul host Cruzeiro in the NBB on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.