Caserta vs Mestre prediction
Caserta
26
15
16
20
Mestre
17
18
22
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Caserta7778Mestre7081Caserta7778Mestre7081Total 159 Margin MES by 3 Win MES 56% Actual 147 · CAS won
Caserta vs Mestre
Caserta
Mestre
Last five games
Caserta
1-3 - Oct 18: Caserta 96, JuVi Cremona 89. Won. Odds: Caserta 1.48, JuVi Cremona 2.55.
- Oct 11: Pesaro 83, Caserta 77. Lost. Odds: Pesaro 1.24, Caserta 3.65.
- Oct 4: Caserta 81, Fortitudo Bologna 83. Lost. Odds: Caserta 2.95, Fortitudo Bologna 1.35.
- Sep 27: Sebastiani Rieti 81, Caserta 73. Lost. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.15, Caserta 4.50.
Mestre
2-3 - Oct 21: Mestre 93, Ruvo Di Puglia 71. Won. Odds: Mestre 1.48, Ruvo Di Puglia 2.55.
- Oct 18: Rimini 91, Mestre 76. Lost. Odds: Rimini 1.11, Mestre 6.00.
- Oct 10: Mestre 74, Sassari 87. Lost. Odds: Mestre 2.55, Sassari 1.43.
- Oct 3: Mestre 49, Libertas Livorno 88. Lost. Odds: Mestre 2.05, Libertas Livorno 1.70.
- Sep 27: Basket Torino 57, Mestre 79. Won. Odds: Basket Torino 1.31, Mestre 3.15.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Caserta, 3 for Mestre.
- Over/under moved up from 158.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- 13th vs 16th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAS moneyline | 1.56 | moved down 1.48 |
| MES moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 2.55 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| CAS spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 | Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 | Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Caserta host Mestre in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.