Caserta vs Fortitudo Bologna prediction
Caserta
24
14
21
22
Fortitudo Bologna
26
16
26
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Caserta8184Fortitudo Bologna8369Caserta8184Fortitudo Bologna8369Total 153 Margin CAS by 15 Win CAS 83% Actual 164 · FOR won
Caserta vs Fortitudo Bologna
Caserta
Fortitudo Bologna
Last five games
Caserta
0-1 - Sep 27: Sebastiani Rieti 81, Caserta 73. Lost. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.15, Caserta 4.50.
Fortitudo Bologna
2-3 - Sep 27: Fortitudo Bologna 92, Ruvo Di Puglia 70. Won. Odds: Fortitudo Bologna 1.09, Ruvo Di Puglia 6.10.
- May 25: Verona 86, Fortitudo Bologna 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 22: Fortitudo Bologna 74, Verona 75. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Fortitudo Bologna 59, Verona 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Fortitudo Bologna 93, Avellino Basket 61. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Fortitudo Bologna dropped from 1.46 to 1.35 since they were first published.
- 13th vs 6th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAS moneyline | 2.55 | moved up 2.95 |
| FOR moneyline | 1.46 | moved down 1.35 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| CAS spread | +4.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 | Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 | Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Caserta host Fortitudo Bologna in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.