Cairns Taipans vs Tasmania JackJumpers prediction
Cairns Taipans
32
13
21
27
Tasmania JackJumpers
16
28
22
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Cairns Taipans9384Tasmania JackJumpers8790Cairns Taipans9384Tasmania JackJumpers8790Total 174 Margin TAS by 6 Win TAS 65% Actual 180 · CAI won
Cairns Taipans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tasmania JackJumpers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Cairns Taipans vs Tasmania JackJumpers
Cairns Taipans
Tasmania JackJumpers
Last 11 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Cairns Taipans at home, last 4 games · Tasmania JackJumpers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cairns Taipans 2, Tasmania JackJumpers 1.
- Average total 160.7 points per meeting
- Over 185.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAI by 3 Jan 30, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 30, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 96–93 OT Tasmania JackJumpers 189 pts · OT
- Dec 13, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 68–81 Tasmania JackJumpers 149 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 69–75 Cairns Taipans 144 pts
Last five games
Cairns Taipans
1-4 - Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.
- Feb 19: New Zealand Breakers 115, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 12: Cairns Taipans 85, Melbourne United 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Brisbane Bullets 72, Cairns Taipans 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 6: Perth 98, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Tasmania JackJumpers
2-3 - Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 70, Illawarra Hawks 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: South East Melbourne 120, Tasmania JackJumpers 104. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 6: Tasmania JackJumpers 114, Brisbane Bullets 70. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Cairns Taipans coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Cairns Taipans dropped from 2.10 to 1.76 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 11.7 — Cairns Taipans −5.3 per 100 possessions, Tasmania JackJumpers +6.4.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Cairns Taipans.
- 160.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 185.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAI moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.76 |
| TAS moneyline | 1.65 | moved up 2.04 |
| Total points | 185.5 | 185.5 |
| CAI spread · regulation | +2.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cairns Taipans host Tasmania JackJumpers in the NBL on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.